语言:简体中文
Birmingham Bears v Somerset
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Birmingham Bears (主队)
预测 40.88%2.45公平赔率
EV -1.89%
优势 -0.786%
Kelly -1.35%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.40
博彩公司预测分布
38.72%40.91%41.10%43.23%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.182.332.372.4045.87%42.90%42.28%41.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
Somerset (客队)
预测 59.12%1.69公平赔率
EV -1.86%
优势 -1.12%
Kelly -2.82%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.66
博彩公司预测分布
56.77%59.09%58.90%61.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.511.571.551.6666.23%63.76%64.52%60.24%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Birmingham Bears (主队)：40.88%；Somerset (客队)：59.12%。 对于“Somerset (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.69。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.66，期望值为-1.86%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.89%E -0.786%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.36%E -5.40%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.89%E -0.786%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.36%E -5.40%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.89%E -0.786%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.36%E -5.40%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.89%E -0.786%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.36%E -5.40%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.89%E -0.786%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.36%E -5.40%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.89%E -0.786%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.36%E -5.40%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.89%E -0.786%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.36%E -5.40%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.89%E -0.786%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.36%E -5.40%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.89%E -0.786%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.36%E -5.40%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.89%E -0.786%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.36%E -5.40%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.72%EV -2.30%E -0.961%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.28%EV -10.73%E -7.11%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.70%E -1.14%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.18%E -4.57%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-23 22:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.93%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.18%E -4.57%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 14:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -3.93%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -8.36%E -5.40%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.98%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.41%E -3.38%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 14:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.02%E -3.56%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.23%E -2.61%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.02%E -3.56%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.82%E -2.99%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.02%E -3.56%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.82%E -2.99%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.02%E -3.56%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.18%E -4.57%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-24 14:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.02%E -3.56%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.18%E -4.57%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-24 14:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.02%E -3.56%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -8.36%E -5.40%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.02%E -3.56%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -8.36%E -5.40%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-24 14:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.67%EV -8.43%E -3.76%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -5.41%E -3.38%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-23 10:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -10.88%E -4.99%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -1.86%E -1.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-23 06:29 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 0.8% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11% | 1.9% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11% | 1.9% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11% | 1.9% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91% | 2.3% | 2026-05-24 14:20 |