Birmingham Bears v Glamorgan

2026-07-10 18:00 — T20 Blast

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

49%

51%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Birmingham Bears (Local)

Prediction 48.66%2.06fair odd

EV -2.68%

Edge -1.34%

Kelly -2.68%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

47.30%49.08%48.67%52.53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.781.941.952.00MINMEANMEDIANMAX

All estimators

Consensus probabilities

47.30%2.114Min

52.53%1.904Max

49.08%2.038Mean

48.67%2.055Median

48.66%2.055IQM

49.25%2.030Margin-weighted

Glamorgan (Visit)

Prediction 51.34%1.95fair odd

EV +1.14%

Edge +0.579%

Kelly +1.18%

Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 1.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

47.47%50.92%51.33%52.70%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.751.841.801.97MINMEANMEDIANMAX

All estimators

Consensus probabilities

47.47%2.107Min

52.70%1.897Max

50.92%1.964Mean

51.33%1.948Median

51.34%1.948IQM

50.75%1.971Margin-weighted

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Birmingham Bears (Local)	Glamorgan (Visit) ▼	Margin	Updated
Pinnacle	1.78I 56.18% NM 52.53%EV -13.39% E -7.52% K -17.16% G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76% NM 47.47%EV +1.14% E +0.579% K +1.18% G +0.013%	6.9%	2026-07-08 23:40
888sport	1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -7.06% E -3.70% K -7.76% G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -1.94% E -1.02% K -2.13% G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-09 00:10
betfred_uk	1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -7.06% E -3.70% K -7.76% G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -1.94% E -1.02% K -2.13% G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-09 00:09
William Hill	1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -7.06% E -3.70% K -7.76% G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -1.94% E -1.02% K -2.13% G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-09 00:59
NordicBet	1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -7.55% E -3.97% K -8.39% G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -2.45% E -1.29% K -2.73% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-09 00:09
Betsson	1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -7.55% E -3.97% K -8.39% G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -2.45% E -1.29% K -2.73% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-09 00:10
TAB	1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -7.55% E -3.97% K -8.39% G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -2.45% E -1.29% K -2.73% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-09 00:18
Betr (AU)	1.87I 53.48% NM 50.00%EV -9.01% E -4.82% K -10.35% G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48% NM 50.00%EV -3.99% E -2.14% K -4.59% G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-09 00:10
SportsBet	2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -2.68% E -1.34% K -2.68% G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -7.59% E -4.21% K -9.48% G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-08 21:15
Coral	2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -2.68% E -1.34% K -2.68% G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -7.59% E -4.21% K -9.48% G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-08 21:14
Ladbrokes (UK)	2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -2.68% E -1.34% K -2.68% G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -7.59% E -4.21% K -9.48% G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-08 21:15
Sky Bet	2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -2.68% E -1.34% K -2.68% G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -7.59% E -4.21% K -9.48% G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-08 21:15
Paddy Power	2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -2.68% E -1.34% K -2.68% G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -7.59% E -4.21% K -9.48% G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-08 21:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -2.68% E -1.34% K -2.68% G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -7.59% E -4.21% K -9.48% G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-08 21:25
Neds	1.96I 51.02% NM 47.87%EV -4.63% E -2.36% K -4.82% G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56% NM 52.13%EV -7.59% E -4.21% K -9.48% G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-07-08 21:15
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.96I 51.02% NM 47.87%EV -4.63% E -2.36% K -4.82% G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56% NM 52.13%EV -7.59% E -4.21% K -9.48% G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-07-08 21:15
Unibet (UK)	1.98I 50.51% NM 47.34%EV -3.65% E -1.85% K -3.73% G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18% NM 52.66%EV -8.61% E -4.84% K -11.04% G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-08 21:15
Bet Victor	1.95I 51.28% NM 47.30%EV -5.11% E -2.62% K -5.38% G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14% NM 52.70%EV -10.15% E -5.80% K -13.54% G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-07-08 21:13
Betway	1.95I 51.28% NM 47.30%EV -5.11% E -2.62% K -5.38% G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14% NM 52.70%EV -10.15% E -5.80% K -13.54% G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-07-08 21:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (4)

Bookmaker	Birmingham Bears (Local)	Glamorgan (Visit)	Margin ▲	Updated
Smarkets	2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%	1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%	5.6%	2026-07-08 21:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.25I 80.00% NM 53.01%	1.41I 70.92% NM 46.99%	50.9%	2026-07-08 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.25I 80.00% NM 53.01%	1.41I 70.92% NM 46.99%	50.9%	2026-07-08 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.25I 80.00% NM 53.01%	1.41I 70.92% NM 46.99%	50.9%	2026-07-08 21:55