The School of Odds
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Rawalpindiz v Multan Sultans

Kickoff: 2026-04-21 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rawalpindiz (Local)

Prediction 33.90%2.95fair odd
EV +10.17%
Edge +3.13%
Kelly +4.52%
Growth +0.460%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.35%33.90%33.90%34.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.932.953.2537.04%34.08%33.90%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Multan Sultans (Visit)

Prediction 66.10%1.51fair odd
EV -7.46%
Edge -5.33%
Kelly -18.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.85%66.10%66.10%70.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.391.401.4074.07%71.94%71.43%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rawalpindiz (Local): 33.90%; Multan Sultans (Visit): 66.10%. For Rawalpindiz (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.95. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.17%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +10.17%E +3.13%K +4.52%G +0.460%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -10.76%E -7.97%K -30.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 13:55
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +1.69%E +0.565%K +0.847%G +0.014%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.78%E -6.36%K -23.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +1.69%E +0.565%K +0.847%G +0.014%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.78%E -6.36%K -23.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 13:55
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +0.000%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 13:50
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +0.000%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 13:50
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +0.000%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 13:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +0.000%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 13:49
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +0.000%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 13:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +0.000%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 13:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +0.000%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 13:50
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV +0.000%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -10.76%E -7.97%K -30.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 13:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.08%E -1.82%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 13:55
Pinnacle🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 33.90%EV -7.46%E -2.73%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.10%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 13:55
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.47%E -3.14%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.46%E -5.33%K -18.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 13:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-04-21 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%0.9%2026-04-21 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53%1.3%2026-04-21 13:55