The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Rawalpindiz v Islamabad United

Kickoff: 2026-04-23 09:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rawalpindiz (Local)

Prediction 39.38%2.54fair odd
EV -3.51%
Edge -1.43%
Kelly -2.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.97%39.38%39.38%42.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.342.352.4545.45%42.66%42.55%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Islamabad United (Visit)

Prediction 60.62%1.65fair odd
EV -3.01%
Edge -1.88%
Kelly -5.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.89%60.62%60.62%62.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.571.601.6066.67%63.50%62.50%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rawalpindiz (Local): 39.38%; Islamabad United (Visit): 60.62%. For Islamabad United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.65. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.60, with an expected value of -3.01%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.51%E -1.43%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.04%E -3.90%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:19
Pinnacle🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.51%E -1.43%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -9.07%E -6.05%K -18.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 14:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.83%E -3.08%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.44%E -3.48%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 09:19
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -6.27%E -2.63%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -8.47%E -5.61%K -16.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 09:25
Unibet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.66%E -2.81%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.22%E -2.67%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 09:25
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.45%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.01%E -1.88%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:24
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.45%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.01%E -1.88%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:24
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.45%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.01%E -1.88%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.45%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.01%E -1.88%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.45%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.01%E -1.88%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.45%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.01%E -1.88%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.42%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.01%E -1.88%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 09:20
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.42%E -4.10%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.01%E -1.88%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 09:20
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -11.39%E -5.06%K -9.11%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -6.04%E -3.90%K -10.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 09:20
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -11.39%E -5.06%K -9.11%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -6.04%E -3.90%K -10.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 09:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -13.36%E -6.07%K -11.13%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -3.01%E -1.88%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 09:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-04-23 09:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-04-23 09:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-04-23 09:25