The School of Odds
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Quetta Gladiators v Karachi Kings

Kickoff: 2026-03-27 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Quetta Gladiators (Local)

Prediction 49.82%2.01fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -2.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.59%49.82%49.82%53.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.801.801.9657.14%55.50%55.56%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Karachi Kings (Visit)

Prediction 50.18%1.99fair odd
EV +2.86%
Edge +1.40%
Kelly +2.72%
Growth +0.078%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.34%50.18%50.18%52.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.982.002.0556.18%50.63%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Quetta Gladiators (Local): 49.82%; Karachi Kings (Visit): 50.18%. For Karachi Kings (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.99. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.86%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -11.81%E -6.67%K -15.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV +2.86%E +1.40%K +2.72%G +0.078%5.3%2026-03-27 13:50
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.32%E -5.73%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +0.352%E +0.176%K +0.352%G +0.001%5.6%2026-03-27 13:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.32%E -5.73%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +0.352%E +0.176%K +0.352%G +0.001%5.6%2026-03-27 13:50
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.32%E -5.73%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +0.352%E +0.176%K +0.352%G +0.001%5.6%2026-03-27 13:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.32%E -5.73%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +0.352%E +0.176%K +0.352%G +0.001%5.6%2026-03-27 13:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.32%E -5.73%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +0.352%E +0.176%K +0.352%G +0.001%5.6%2026-03-27 13:50
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.32%E -5.73%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +0.352%E +0.176%K +0.352%G +0.001%5.6%2026-03-27 13:50
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.32%E -5.73%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +0.352%E +0.176%K +0.352%G +0.001%5.6%2026-03-27 13:49
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.32%E -5.73%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +0.352%E +0.176%K +0.352%G +0.001%5.6%2026-03-27 13:50
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.32%E -5.73%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +0.352%E +0.176%K +0.352%G +0.001%5.6%2026-03-27 13:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.32%E -5.73%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +0.352%E +0.176%K +0.352%G +0.001%5.6%2026-03-27 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.32%E -5.73%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +0.352%E +0.176%K +0.352%G +0.001%5.6%2026-03-27 13:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.32%E -5.73%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +0.352%E +0.176%K +0.352%G +0.001%5.6%2026-03-27 13:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -10.32%E -5.73%K -12.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -2.16%E -1.11%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-27 13:50
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -12.81%E -7.32%K -17.08%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -4.67%E -2.46%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-27 13:50
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -12.81%E -7.32%K -17.08%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -4.67%E -2.46%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-27 13:49
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -2.34%E -1.20%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -10.69%E -6.00%K -13.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-25 17:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%0.2%2026-03-27 13:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%0.3%2026-03-27 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%0.3%2026-03-27 13:55