The School of Odds
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Quetta Gladiators v Karachi Kings

Kickoff: 2026-04-25 09:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Quetta Gladiators (Local)

Prediction 47.72%2.10fair odd
EV -4.57%
Edge -2.28%
Kelly -4.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.24%47.72%47.72%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.941.942.0052.63%51.47%51.55%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Karachi Kings (Visit)

Prediction 52.28%1.91fair odd
EV -0.663%
Edge -0.349%
Kelly -0.736%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.28%52.28%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.831.831.9058.14%54.79%54.64%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Quetta Gladiators (Local): 47.72%; Karachi Kings (Visit): 52.28%. For Karachi Kings (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.91. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.90, with an expected value of -0.663%; they did not produce positive expected value.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.57%E -2.28%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.51%E -4.86%K -11.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 21:14
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -4.57%E -2.28%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -10.07%E -5.86%K -13.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 21:14
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -4.57%E -2.28%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -10.07%E -5.86%K -13.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 21:14
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.95%E -3.56%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.32%E -2.36%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.95%E -3.56%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.32%E -2.36%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.95%E -3.56%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.32%E -2.36%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -7.43%E -3.83%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -4.32%E -2.36%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 18:39
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -7.43%E -3.83%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -4.32%E -2.36%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 18:40
Grosvenor🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -7.43%E -3.83%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -4.32%E -2.36%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 18:39
Casumo🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -7.43%E -3.83%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -4.32%E -2.36%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 18:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -7.43%E -3.83%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -4.32%E -2.36%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 18:45
LeoVegas🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -7.43%E -3.83%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -4.32%E -2.36%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 18:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -7.43%E -3.83%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -4.32%E -2.36%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.34%E -4.91%K -10.37%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.663%E -0.349%K -0.736%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 23:59
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.34%E -4.91%K -10.37%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.663%E -0.349%K -0.736%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 23:59
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.34%E -4.91%K -10.37%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.663%E -0.349%K -0.736%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:00
Pinnacle🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -9.34%E -4.91%K -10.37%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -3.80%E -2.07%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 18:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%6.3%2026-04-24 02:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%6.3%2026-04-24 02:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 50.00%1.72I 58.14%NM 50.00%16.3%2026-04-24 02:25

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.53%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.78%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.69%8.4%2026-04-24 00:09