Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Peshawar Zalmi v Quetta Gladiators

Kickoff: 2026-04-19 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Peshawar Zalmi (Local)

Prediction 51.32%1.95fair odd
EV +2.64%
Edge +1.32%
Kelly +2.64%
Growth +0.070%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.30%51.32%51.32%53.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.962.002.0057.80%50.91%50.00%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Quetta Gladiators (Visit)

Prediction 48.68%2.05fair odd
EV -1.18%
Edge -0.580%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.01%48.68%48.68%52.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.821.802.0357.14%55.05%55.56%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Peshawar Zalmi (Local): 51.32%; Quetta Gladiators (Visit): 48.68%. For Peshawar Zalmi (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.95. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.64%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +2.64%E +1.32%K +2.64%G +0.070%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -12.37%E -6.87%K -15.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 13:50
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +2.64%E +1.32%K +2.64%G +0.070%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -12.37%E -6.87%K -15.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 13:50
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +2.64%E +1.32%K +2.64%G +0.070%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -12.37%E -6.87%K -15.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 13:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +2.64%E +1.32%K +2.64%G +0.070%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -12.37%E -6.87%K -15.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +2.64%E +1.32%K +2.64%G +0.070%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -12.37%E -6.87%K -15.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +2.64%E +1.32%K +2.64%G +0.070%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -12.37%E -6.87%K -15.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 13:50
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +2.64%E +1.32%K +2.64%G +0.070%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -12.37%E -6.87%K -15.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 13:50
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +2.64%E +1.32%K +2.64%G +0.070%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -12.37%E -6.87%K -15.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +2.64%E +1.32%K +2.64%G +0.070%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -12.37%E -6.87%K -15.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +2.64%E +1.32%K +2.64%G +0.070%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -12.37%E -6.87%K -15.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 13:50
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +2.64%E +1.32%K +2.64%G +0.070%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -12.37%E -6.87%K -15.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 13:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +0.072%E +0.037%K +0.076%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -12.37%E -6.87%K -15.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 13:50
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV +0.072%E +0.037%K +0.076%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -14.81%E -8.46%K -19.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -0.954%E -0.494%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 13:50
Neds🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -0.954%E -0.494%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 13:50
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -2.49%E -1.31%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -12.37%E -6.87%K -15.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 13:55
Pinnacle🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.99%EV -11.22%E -6.48%K -15.37%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.01%EV -1.18%E -0.580%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 03:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%0.4%2026-04-19 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-04-19 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-04-19 13:55