The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Peshawar Zalmi v Quetta Gladiators

Kickoff: 2026-04-15 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Peshawar Zalmi (Local)

Prediction 47.77%2.09fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.95%47.77%47.77%49.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.022.052.0553.19%49.56%48.78%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Quetta Gladiators (Visit)

Prediction 52.23%1.91fair odd
EV -3.38%
Edge -1.83%
Kelly -3.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.40%52.23%52.23%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.761.751.8558.82%56.86%57.14%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Peshawar Zalmi (Local): 47.77%; Quetta Gladiators (Visit): 52.23%. For Peshawar Zalmi (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.09. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.05, with an expected value of -2.07%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.60%E -4.91%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 13:55
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.60%E -4.91%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.60%E -4.91%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 13:55
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.60%E -4.91%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.60%E -4.91%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.60%E -4.91%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 13:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.60%E -4.91%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 13:55
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.60%E -4.91%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 13:55
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.60%E -4.91%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 13:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.60%E -4.91%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 13:55
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 13:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.60%E -4.91%K -11.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 13:55
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -11.21%E -6.60%K -16.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-15 13:55
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -4.46%E -2.23%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -11.21%E -6.60%K -16.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-15 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.37%E -3.25%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-15 13:55
Neds🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.37%E -3.25%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.99%E -3.33%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-15 13:55
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -10.19%E -5.42%K -11.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -3.38%E -1.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 13:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-04-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-04-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-04-15 13:55