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Peshawar Zalmi v Lahore Qalandars

Kickoff: 2026-04-11 09:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Peshawar Zalmi (Local)

Prediction 46.39%2.16fair odd
EV +4.37%
Edge +1.94%
Kelly +3.50%
Growth +0.153%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.31%46.39%46.39%47.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.162.202.2551.02%46.31%45.45%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lahore Qalandars (Visit)

Prediction 53.61%1.87fair odd
EV -4.03%
Edge -2.25%
Kelly -5.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.27%53.61%53.61%57.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.681.671.7960.61%59.57%59.88%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Peshawar Zalmi (Local): 46.39%; Lahore Qalandars (Visit): 53.61%. For Peshawar Zalmi (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.16. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.37%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +4.37%E +1.94%K +3.50%G +0.153%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -11.54%E -6.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 09:14
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +2.05%E +0.932%K +1.71%G +0.035%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -10.47%E -6.27%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 09:14
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +2.05%E +0.932%K +1.71%G +0.035%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -10.47%E -6.27%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 09:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +2.05%E +0.932%K +1.71%G +0.035%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -10.47%E -6.27%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 09:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +2.05%E +0.932%K +1.71%G +0.035%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -10.47%E -6.27%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 09:14
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +2.05%E +0.932%K +1.71%G +0.035%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -10.47%E -6.27%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 09:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +2.05%E +0.932%K +1.71%G +0.035%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -10.47%E -6.27%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 09:14
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +2.05%E +0.932%K +1.71%G +0.035%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -10.47%E -6.27%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 09:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +2.05%E +0.932%K +1.71%G +0.035%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -10.47%E -6.27%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 09:15
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +2.05%E +0.932%K +1.71%G +0.035%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -10.47%E -6.27%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 09:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +2.05%E +0.932%K +1.71%G +0.035%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -10.47%E -6.27%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 09:14
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -0.268%E -0.125%K -0.233%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -10.47%E -6.27%K -15.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 09:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -0.268%E -0.125%K -0.233%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -10.47%E -6.27%K -15.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 09:14
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.59%E -1.23%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.86%E -5.21%K -12.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 09:05
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -4.91%E -2.39%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -9.93%E -5.91%K -14.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 09:05
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -4.91%E -2.39%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -9.93%E -5.91%K -14.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 09:04
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -9.08%E -4.63%K -9.46%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -4.03%E -2.25%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 02:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%0.3%2026-04-11 09:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-04-11 09:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-04-11 09:25

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.66%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.69%8.5%2026-04-11 08:55