Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Multan Sultans v Rawalpindiz

Kickoff: 2026-04-06 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Multan Sultans (Local)

Prediction 61.77%1.62fair odd
EV -4.25%
Edge -2.74%
Kelly -7.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.26%61.77%61.77%64.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.491.471.5569.93%67.02%68.03%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rawalpindiz (Visit)

Prediction 38.23%2.62fair odd
EV +1.30%
Edge +0.492%
Kelly +0.790%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.05%38.23%38.23%39.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.572.652.6542.55%38.85%37.74%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Multan Sultans (Local): 61.77%; Rawalpindiz (Visit): 38.23%. For Rawalpindiz (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.62. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.30%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -9.19%E -6.26%K -19.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +1.30%E +0.492%K +0.790%G +0.010%5.8%2026-04-06 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -9.19%E -6.26%K -19.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +1.30%E +0.492%K +0.790%G +0.010%5.8%2026-04-06 13:45
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -9.19%E -6.26%K -19.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +1.30%E +0.492%K +0.790%G +0.010%5.8%2026-04-06 13:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -9.19%E -6.26%K -19.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +1.30%E +0.492%K +0.790%G +0.010%5.8%2026-04-06 13:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -9.19%E -6.26%K -19.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +1.30%E +0.492%K +0.790%G +0.010%5.8%2026-04-06 13:45
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -9.19%E -6.26%K -19.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +1.30%E +0.492%K +0.790%G +0.010%5.8%2026-04-06 13:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -9.19%E -6.26%K -19.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +1.30%E +0.492%K +0.790%G +0.010%5.8%2026-04-06 13:45
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -9.19%E -6.26%K -19.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +1.30%E +0.492%K +0.790%G +0.010%5.8%2026-04-06 13:45
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -11.67%E -8.16%K -27.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV +1.30%E +0.492%K +0.790%G +0.010%7.7%2026-04-06 13:45
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.87%E -3.16%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 11:45
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.25%E -2.74%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.25%E -2.74%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 13:45
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.77%EV -6.72%E -4.45%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%EV -6.72%E -2.76%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 23:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.25%E -2.74%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.16%E -4.33%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 23:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%0.2%2026-04-06 13:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-04-06 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-04-06 13:45

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.28%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.03%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.69%8.4%2026-04-06 13:36