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Multan Sultans v Islamabad United

Kickoff: 2026-03-28 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Multan Sultans (Local)

Prediction 55.23%1.81fair odd
EV -2.24%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -2.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.66%55.23%55.23%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.741.771.7760.61%57.57%56.50%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Islamabad United (Visit)

Prediction 44.77%2.23fair odd
EV -3.75%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -3.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%44.77%44.77%46.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.062.052.1550.00%48.49%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Multan Sultans (Local): 55.23%; Islamabad United (Visit): 44.77%. For Multan Sultans (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.81. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.77, with an expected value of -2.24%; they did not produce positive expected value.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.24%E -1.26%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.23%E -4.01%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 21:49
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.24%E -1.26%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.23%E -4.01%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 21:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.24%E -1.26%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.23%E -4.01%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 21:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.24%E -1.26%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.23%E -4.01%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 21:49
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.24%E -1.26%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.23%E -4.01%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 21:50
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.24%E -1.26%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.23%E -4.01%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 21:49
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.24%E -1.26%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.23%E -4.01%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 21:49
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.24%E -1.26%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.23%E -4.01%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 21:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.24%E -1.26%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.23%E -4.01%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 21:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.24%E -1.26%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.23%E -4.01%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 21:50
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.00%E -2.91%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-28 00:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.00%E -2.91%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-28 00:05
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.55%E -3.25%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.75%E -1.75%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 00:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-28 03:10
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.33%EV -5.54%E -2.63%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 20:15
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -8.86%E -5.37%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -10.47%E -5.23%K -10.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-28 03:10
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -8.86%E -5.37%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -10.47%E -5.23%K -10.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-28 03:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-03-28 02:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-03-28 02:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.4%2026-03-28 03:05

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.62%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.70%8.0%2026-03-28 00:10