Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lahore Qalandars v Rawalpindiz

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lahore Qalandars (Local)

Prediction 56.22%1.78fair odd
EV -3.30%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly -4.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.38%56.22%56.22%57.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.711.721.7261.73%58.56%58.14%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rawalpindiz (Visit)

Prediction 43.78%2.28fair odd
EV -4.12%
Edge -1.88%
Kelly -3.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.52%43.78%43.78%45.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.102.102.1948.78%47.70%47.62%45.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lahore Qalandars (Local): 56.22%; Rawalpindiz (Visit): 43.78%. For Lahore Qalandars (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.78. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.72, with an expected value of -3.30%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.06%E -3.84%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 13:35
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.06%E -3.84%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 13:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.06%E -3.84%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 13:35
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.06%E -3.84%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 13:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.06%E -3.84%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.06%E -3.84%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 13:35
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.06%E -3.84%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 13:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.06%E -3.84%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 13:35
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.06%E -3.84%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 13:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.06%E -3.84%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -10.25%E -5.00%K -9.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 13:44
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -3.30%E -1.92%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -10.25%E -5.00%K -9.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 13:44
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.86%E -2.26%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.87%E -2.73%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 13:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.43%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.06%E -3.84%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 13:35
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -10.25%E -5.00%K -9.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 13:35
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -10.25%E -5.00%K -9.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 13:35
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.48%EV -8.92%E -5.51%K -14.39%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.52%EV -4.12%E -1.88%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 10:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-04-18 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-04-18 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-04-18 13:50