The School of Odds
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Lahore Qalandars v Quetta Gladiators

Kickoff: 2026-04-21 09:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lahore Qalandars (Local)

Prediction 54.08%1.85fair odd
EV -2.66%
Edge -1.48%
Kelly -3.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%54.08%54.08%54.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.771.801.8059.52%56.59%55.56%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Quetta Gladiators (Visit)

Prediction 45.92%2.18fair odd
EV -3.56%
Edge -1.69%
Kelly -3.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.04%45.92%45.92%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.022.002.1051.02%49.55%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lahore Qalandars (Local): 54.08%; Quetta Gladiators (Visit): 45.92%. For Lahore Qalandars (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.85. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.80, with an expected value of -2.66%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.66%E -1.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.15%E -4.08%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 09:25
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.66%E -1.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.15%E -4.08%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 09:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.66%E -1.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.15%E -4.08%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 09:25
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.66%E -1.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.15%E -4.08%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 09:25
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.66%E -1.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.15%E -4.08%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 09:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.66%E -1.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.15%E -4.08%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 09:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.66%E -1.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.15%E -4.08%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 09:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.66%E -1.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.15%E -4.08%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 09:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.66%E -1.48%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.15%E -4.08%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 09:25
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -4.83%E -2.74%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -8.15%E -4.08%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 09:05
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -4.83%E -2.74%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -9.99%E -5.10%K -10.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 09:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.37%E -3.07%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 09:20
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.37%E -3.07%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 09:20
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.91%E -3.40%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.56%E -1.69%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 09:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.99%E -4.06%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 09:20
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -9.15%E -5.45%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 09:25
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -9.15%E -5.45%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -5.86%E -2.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 09:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-04-21 09:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-04-21 09:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-04-21 09:25