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Lahore Qalandars v Peshawar Zalmi

Kickoff: 2026-04-25 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lahore Qalandars (Local)

Prediction 46.44%2.15fair odd
EV -0.156%
Edge -0.073%
Kelly -0.136%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.42%46.44%46.44%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.881.971.892.1553.19%50.87%52.91%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Peshawar Zalmi (Visit)

Prediction 53.56%1.87fair odd
EV +1.23%
Edge +0.651%
Kelly +1.38%
Growth +0.017%

assuming max odds 1.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%53.56%53.56%56.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.801.881.8961.73%55.43%53.19%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lahore Qalandars (Local): 46.44%; Peshawar Zalmi (Visit): 53.56%. For Peshawar Zalmi (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.87. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.89, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.23%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -12.23%E -6.47%K -13.74%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV +1.23%E +0.651%K +1.38%G +0.017%5.8%2026-04-23 17:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -12.23%E -6.47%K -13.74%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV +1.23%E +0.651%K +1.38%G +0.017%5.8%2026-04-23 17:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -12.23%E -6.47%K -13.74%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV +1.23%E +0.651%K +1.38%G +0.017%5.8%2026-04-23 17:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -12.69%E -6.75%K -14.43%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV +0.695%E +0.369%K +0.789%G +0.005%6.4%2026-04-23 17:55
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -12.69%E -6.75%K -14.43%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV +0.695%E +0.369%K +0.789%G +0.005%6.4%2026-04-23 17:55
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -12.69%E -6.75%K -14.43%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV +0.695%E +0.369%K +0.789%G +0.005%6.4%2026-04-23 17:54
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -12.69%E -6.75%K -14.43%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV +0.695%E +0.369%K +0.789%G +0.005%6.4%2026-04-23 17:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -12.69%E -6.75%K -14.43%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV +0.695%E +0.369%K +0.789%G +0.005%6.4%2026-04-23 17:54
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -12.69%E -6.75%K -14.43%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV +0.695%E +0.369%K +0.789%G +0.005%6.4%2026-04-23 17:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -12.69%E -6.75%K -14.43%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV +0.695%E +0.369%K +0.789%G +0.005%6.4%2026-04-23 17:54
Pinnacle🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.33%EV -12.23%E -6.47%K -13.74%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.67%EV -1.45%E -0.787%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 02:25
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -0.156%E -0.073%K -0.136%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -8.41%E -4.92%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 18:04
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.48%E -1.18%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.95%E -5.26%K -12.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 18:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.48%E -1.18%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.95%E -5.26%K -12.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 18:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -0.156%E -0.073%K -0.136%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -11.62%E -7.05%K -17.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 17:55
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -2.48%E -1.18%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -13.23%E -8.17%K -21.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 17:54
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -2.48%E -1.18%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -13.23%E -8.17%K -21.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 17:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%5.8%2026-04-24 03:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%5.8%2026-04-24 03:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 41.88%1.47I 68.03%NM 58.12%17.0%2026-04-24 03:10

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.45%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.87%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.68%8.6%2026-04-23 18:14