The School of Odds
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Lahore Qalandars v Islamabad United

Kickoff: 2026-04-09 09:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lahore Qalandars (Local)

Prediction 45.98%2.17fair odd
EV -5.74%
Edge -2.80%
Kelly -5.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.95%45.98%45.98%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.002.002.0550.00%49.88%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Islamabad United (Visit)

Prediction 54.02%1.85fair odd
EV -4.38%
Edge -2.48%
Kelly -5.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.05%54.02%54.02%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.731.731.7758.82%57.65%57.80%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lahore Qalandars (Local): 45.98%; Islamabad United (Visit): 54.02%. For Islamabad United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.85. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.77, with an expected value of -4.38%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.74%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.38%E -2.48%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 09:25
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.01%EV -6.66%E -3.28%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.99%EV -6.54%E -3.78%K -8.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 09:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.04%E -4.02%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.38%E -2.48%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-09 09:25
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.04%E -4.02%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.38%E -2.48%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-09 09:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.04%E -4.02%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.46%E -3.12%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 09:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.04%E -4.02%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.54%E -3.78%K -8.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-09 09:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.04%E -4.02%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.54%E -3.78%K -8.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-09 09:25
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.04%E -4.02%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.54%E -3.78%K -8.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-09 09:25
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.04%E -4.02%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.54%E -3.78%K -8.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-09 09:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.04%E -4.02%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.54%E -3.78%K -8.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-09 09:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.04%E -4.02%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.54%E -3.78%K -8.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-09 09:25
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.04%E -4.02%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.54%E -3.78%K -8.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-09 09:25
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.04%E -4.02%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.54%E -3.78%K -8.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-09 09:25
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.04%E -4.02%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.54%E -3.78%K -8.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-09 09:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.04%E -4.02%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.54%E -3.78%K -8.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-09 09:25
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.04%E -4.02%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.16%E -4.80%K -11.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-09 09:25
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.04%E -4.02%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.16%E -4.80%K -11.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-09 09:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-04-09 09:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-04-09 09:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-04-09 09:04