The School of Odds
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Karachi Kings v Peshawar Zalmi

Kickoff: 2026-04-09 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Karachi Kings (Local)

Prediction 57.93%1.73fair odd
EV -6.73%
Edge -4.18%
Kelly -11.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.89%57.93%57.93%59.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.611.611.6162.50%62.25%62.11%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Peshawar Zalmi (Visit)

Prediction 42.07%2.38fair odd
EV -1.13%
Edge -0.482%
Kelly -0.840%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.51%42.07%42.07%42.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.282.302.3545.45%43.85%43.48%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Karachi Kings (Local): 57.93%; Peshawar Zalmi (Visit): 42.07%. For Peshawar Zalmi (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.38. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.35, with an expected value of -1.13%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.73%E -4.18%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.24%E -1.41%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 13:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.73%E -4.18%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.24%E -1.41%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 13:45
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.73%E -4.18%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.24%E -1.41%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 13:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.73%E -4.18%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.24%E -1.41%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 13:45
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.73%E -4.18%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.24%E -1.41%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.73%E -4.18%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.24%E -1.41%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 13:45
LeoVegas🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.73%E -4.18%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.24%E -1.41%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 13:45
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.73%E -4.18%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.24%E -1.41%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 13:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.73%E -4.18%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.24%E -1.41%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 13:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.73%E -4.18%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.24%E -1.41%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 13:45
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.96%EV -6.73%E -4.18%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -6.60%E -2.97%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-09 13:45
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.31%E -4.57%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.13%E -0.482%K -0.840%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-09 13:35
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.31%E -4.57%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.24%E -1.41%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-09 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.31%E -4.57%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.24%E -1.41%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-09 13:35
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.31%E -4.57%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-09 13:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.31%E -4.57%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-09 13:45
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.31%E -4.57%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-09 13:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%0.2%2026-04-09 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-04-09 13:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-04-09 13:45