The School of Odds
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Karachi Kings v Hyderabad Kingsmen

Kickoff: 2026-04-11 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Karachi Kings (Local)

Prediction 52.54%1.90fair odd
EV -0.179%
Edge -0.094%
Kelly -0.199%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.54%52.54%53.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.841.851.9057.47%54.37%54.05%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hyderabad Kingsmen (Visit)

Prediction 47.46%2.11fair odd
EV -4.13%
Edge -2.04%
Kelly -4.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.28%47.46%47.46%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.941.942.0252.63%51.66%51.55%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Karachi Kings (Local): 52.54%; Hyderabad Kingsmen (Visit): 47.46%. For Karachi Kings (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.903. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.900, with an expected value of -0.179%; they did not produce positive expected value.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.179%E -0.094%K -0.199%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.82%E -5.17%K -10.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 13:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.81%E -1.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.45%E -3.82%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 13:44
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.81%E -1.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.45%E -3.82%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 13:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.81%E -1.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.45%E -3.82%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 13:44
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -2.81%E -1.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.92%E -4.08%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 13:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -2.81%E -1.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.92%E -4.08%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 13:45
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -2.81%E -1.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.92%E -4.08%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 13:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -2.81%E -1.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.92%E -4.08%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 13:45
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -2.81%E -1.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.92%E -4.08%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 13:44
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -2.81%E -1.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.92%E -4.08%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 13:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -2.81%E -1.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.92%E -4.08%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 13:45
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -2.81%E -1.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -8.40%E -4.35%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -2.81%E -1.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -8.40%E -4.35%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 13:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -3.86%E -2.11%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -9.82%E -5.17%K -10.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 13:55
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.43%E -3.02%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.82%E -5.17%K -10.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 13:55
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.43%E -3.02%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.82%E -5.17%K -10.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 13:55
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -8.58%E -4.93%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -4.13%E -2.04%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 13:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-04-11 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.75%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%1.0%2026-04-11 13:55

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.27%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.05%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.68%8.6%2026-04-11 13:30