The School of Odds
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Islamabad United v Quetta Gladiators

Kickoff: 2026-04-02 09:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Islamabad United (Local)

Prediction 48.81%2.05fair odd
EV -2.38%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -2.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.93%48.81%48.81%50.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.952.002.0055.56%51.27%50.00%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Quetta Gladiators (Visit)

Prediction 51.19%1.95fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -3.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.32%51.19%51.19%53.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.821.801.9056.82%54.82%55.56%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Islamabad United (Local): 48.81%; Quetta Gladiators (Visit): 51.19%. For Islamabad United (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.05. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.00, with an expected value of -2.38%; they did not produce positive expected value.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.38%E -1.19%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.86%E -4.36%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-02 07:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.38%E -1.19%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.86%E -4.36%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-02 07:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.38%E -1.19%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.86%E -4.36%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-02 07:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.38%E -1.19%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.86%E -4.36%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-02 07:55
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.38%E -1.19%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.86%E -4.36%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-02 07:54
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.38%E -1.19%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.86%E -4.36%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-02 07:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.38%E -1.19%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.86%E -4.36%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-02 07:55
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.38%E -1.19%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.86%E -4.36%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-02 07:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.38%E -1.19%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.86%E -4.36%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-02 07:55
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -2.38%E -1.19%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -8.88%E -4.99%K -11.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 07:55
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -2.87%E -1.44%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -9.90%E -5.63%K -13.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 17:15
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.74%E -1.44%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 09:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.74%E -1.44%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 09:15
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.74%E -1.44%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 09:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.73%E -4.67%K -10.03%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.29%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 09:19
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -12.14%E -6.75%K -15.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -5.30%E -2.86%K -6.23%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-02 09:20
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -12.14%E -6.75%K -15.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -5.30%E -2.86%K -6.23%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-02 09:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%0.3%2026-04-02 09:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%0.3%2026-04-02 09:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%0.3%2026-04-02 09:20

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.66%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.69%8.5%2026-04-02 09:03