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Islamabad United v Hyderabad Kingsmen

Kickoff: 2026-05-01 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Islamabad United (Local)

Prediction 54.47%1.84fair odd
EV -4.67%
Edge -2.67%
Kelly -6.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.33%54.47%54.47%54.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.731.731.7559.52%57.92%57.80%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hyderabad Kingsmen (Visit)

Prediction 45.53%2.20fair odd
EV -4.40%
Edge -2.09%
Kelly -4.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.04%45.53%45.53%46.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.082.102.1050.00%48.17%47.62%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Islamabad United (Local): 54.47%; Hyderabad Kingsmen (Visit): 45.53%. For Hyderabad Kingsmen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.20. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.10, with an expected value of -4.40%; they did not produce positive expected value.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.67%E -2.67%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.67%E -3.26%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.67%E -2.67%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.67%E -3.26%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 13:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.67%E -2.67%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.95%E -4.47%K -8.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 13:45
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.21%E -3.00%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.40%E -2.09%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 13:54
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.76%E -3.33%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.40%E -2.09%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 13:40
Grosvenor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.76%E -3.33%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.40%E -2.09%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 13:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.76%E -3.33%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.40%E -2.09%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 13:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.76%E -3.33%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.40%E -2.09%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.76%E -3.33%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.40%E -2.09%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 13:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.76%E -3.33%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.40%E -2.09%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 13:35
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.76%E -3.33%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.40%E -2.09%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 13:40
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.76%E -3.33%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.40%E -2.09%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 13:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.76%E -3.33%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.40%E -2.09%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 13:40
Pinnacle🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.99%EV -5.76%E -3.33%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.01%EV -7.58%E -3.74%K -7.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 13:50
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.39%E -4.35%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -6.22%E -3.02%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 13:40
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -8.48%E -5.05%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -6.67%E -3.26%K -6.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 13:55
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -8.48%E -5.05%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -6.67%E -3.26%K -6.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 13:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-05-01 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-05-01 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-05-01 13:55

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.54%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.77%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.69%8.5%2026-05-01 13:30