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Hyderabad Kingsmen v Rawalpindiz

Kickoff: 2026-04-16 09:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hyderabad Kingsmen (Local)

Prediction 58.30%1.72fair odd
EV -5.55%
Edge -3.43%
Kelly -8.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.85%58.30%58.30%59.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.601.601.6263.29%62.48%62.50%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rawalpindiz (Visit)

Prediction 41.70%2.40fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -0.853%
Kelly -1.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.51%41.70%41.70%42.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.282.302.3545.45%43.86%43.48%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hyderabad Kingsmen (Local): 58.30%; Rawalpindiz (Visit): 41.70%. For Rawalpindiz (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.40. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.35, with an expected value of -2.01%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.55%E -3.43%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.18%E -2.74%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 09:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.55%E -3.43%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.18%E -2.74%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 09:20
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -6.14%E -3.81%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.15%EV -7.84%E -3.55%K -6.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-16 09:20
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.72%E -4.20%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.01%E -0.853%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 09:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.72%E -4.20%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.09%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 09:20
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.72%E -4.20%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.09%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 09:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.72%E -4.20%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.09%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 09:20
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.72%E -4.20%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.09%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 09:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.72%E -4.20%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.09%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 09:20
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.72%E -4.20%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.09%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 09:20
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.72%E -4.20%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.09%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 09:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.72%E -4.20%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.09%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 09:20
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.72%E -4.20%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.09%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 09:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.72%E -4.20%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.09%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 09:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.72%E -4.20%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.26%E -3.75%K -6.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-15 07:55
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.89%E -4.99%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.18%E -2.74%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 09:24
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.89%E -4.99%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.18%E -2.74%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 09:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26%0.1%2026-04-16 09:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-04-16 09:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-04-16 09:25