The School of Odds
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Hyderabad Kingsmen v Peshawar Zalmi

Kickoff: 2026-04-08 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hyderabad Kingsmen (Local)

Prediction 44.51%2.25fair odd
EV +2.38%
Edge +1.04%
Kelly +1.83%
Growth +0.044%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.03%44.51%44.51%45.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.232.302.3048.78%44.80%43.48%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Peshawar Zalmi (Visit)

Prediction 55.49%1.80fair odd
EV -5.12%
Edge -2.99%
Kelly -7.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.52%55.49%55.49%58.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.631.621.7162.50%61.22%61.73%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hyderabad Kingsmen (Local): 44.51%; Peshawar Zalmi (Visit): 55.49%. For Hyderabad Kingsmen (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.25. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.38%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +2.38%E +1.04%K +1.83%G +0.044%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -10.11%E -6.24%K -16.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 13:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +2.38%E +1.04%K +1.83%G +0.044%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -10.11%E -6.24%K -16.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 13:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +2.38%E +1.04%K +1.83%G +0.044%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -10.11%E -6.24%K -16.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 13:35
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +2.38%E +1.04%K +1.83%G +0.044%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -10.11%E -6.24%K -16.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +2.38%E +1.04%K +1.83%G +0.044%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -10.11%E -6.24%K -16.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 13:35
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +2.38%E +1.04%K +1.83%G +0.044%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -10.11%E -6.24%K -16.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 13:35
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +2.38%E +1.04%K +1.83%G +0.044%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -10.11%E -6.24%K -16.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 13:35
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +2.38%E +1.04%K +1.83%G +0.044%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -10.11%E -6.24%K -16.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 13:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +2.38%E +1.04%K +1.83%G +0.044%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -10.11%E -6.24%K -16.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 13:35
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +2.38%E +1.04%K +1.83%G +0.044%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -11.22%E -7.01%K -18.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 13:35
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +0.155%E +0.069%K +0.124%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.45%E -5.12%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 13:50
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.34%E -4.39%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-08 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.34%E -4.39%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-08 13:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.45%E -5.12%K -13.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 13:50
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -6.52%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -10.11%E -6.24%K -16.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-08 13:50
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -6.52%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -10.11%E -6.24%K -16.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-08 13:50
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.12%E -2.99%K -7.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-08 13:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-04-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-04-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-04-08 13:55