Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.10
assuming max odds 1.80
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hyderabad Kingsmen (Local): 45.87%; Multan Sultans (Visit): 54.13%. For Multan Sultans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.85. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.80, with an expected value of -2.57%; they did not produce positive expected value.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -3.67%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -9.06%E -5.39%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 13:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.96%E -2.91%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.19%E -2.37%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 13:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.26%E -4.13%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.57%E -1.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 13:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.26%E -4.13%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.57%E -1.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 13:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.26%E -4.13%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.57%E -1.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 13:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.26%E -4.13%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.57%E -1.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 13:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.26%E -4.13%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.57%E -1.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 13:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.26%E -4.13%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.57%E -1.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 13:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.26%E -4.13%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.57%E -1.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 13:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.26%E -4.13%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.57%E -1.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 13:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.26%E -4.13%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.57%E -1.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 13:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.26%E -4.13%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.57%E -1.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 13:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.26%E -4.13%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.57%E -1.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 13:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.26%E -4.13%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.57%E -1.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 13:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.55%E -5.41%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.57%E -1.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 13:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.55%E -5.41%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.27%E -3.01%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-22 13:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.55%E -5.41%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.27%E -3.01%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-22 13:49 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 0.4% | 2026-04-22 13:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 0.4% | 2026-04-22 13:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 0.4% | 2026-04-22 13:54 |
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.79% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.53% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.69% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 13:31 |