The School of Odds
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Hyderabad Kingsmen v Islamabad United

Kickoff: 2026-04-12 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hyderabad Kingsmen (Local)

Prediction 48.78%2.05fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -2.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%48.78%48.78%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.891.911.902.0052.91%52.31%52.63%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Islamabad United (Visit)

Prediction 51.22%1.95fair odd
EV -2.69%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -2.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.22%51.22%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.851.891.9056.18%53.92%52.91%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hyderabad Kingsmen (Local): 48.78%; Islamabad United (Visit): 51.22%. For Hyderabad Kingsmen (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.05. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.00, with an expected value of -2.43%; they did not produce positive expected value.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.43%E -1.22%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 13:55
Neds🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -4.38%E -2.24%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -4.38%E -2.24%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 13:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.87%E -2.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.81%E -4.34%K -9.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 13:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.31%E -3.85%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.69%E -1.42%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 13:55
Unibet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.31%E -3.85%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.69%E -1.42%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 13:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.31%E -3.85%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.69%E -1.42%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 13:55
Pinnacle🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -7.31%E -3.85%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -5.76%E -3.13%K -6.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 13:45
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.37%EV -7.31%E -3.85%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -8.84%E -4.96%K -11.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 13:40
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.37%EV -7.31%E -3.85%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -8.84%E -4.96%K -11.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 13:40
Grosvenor🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.80%E -4.13%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.20%E -1.69%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 13:55
TABtouch🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.80%E -4.13%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.20%E -1.69%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 13:55
LeoVegas🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.80%E -4.13%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.20%E -1.69%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.80%E -4.13%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.20%E -1.69%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.80%E -4.13%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.20%E -1.69%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 13:55
Casumo🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.80%E -4.13%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.20%E -1.69%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 13:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.80%E -4.13%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.20%E -1.69%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 13:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%0.3%2026-04-12 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-04-12 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-04-12 13:50

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 43.67%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.65%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.69%8.5%2026-04-12 09:40