The School of Odds

Zimbabwe v Bangladesh

Kickoff: 2026-07-06 07:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →

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Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Zimbabwe (Local)

Prediction 39.60%2.53fair odd
EV +2.95%
Edge +1.13%
Kelly +1.84%
Growth +0.054%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.59%39.24%39.60%41.33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.272.482.502.6044%40%40%38%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Bangladesh (Visit)

Prediction 60.40%1.66fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -3.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.67%60.76%60.40%63.41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.491.531.511.6267%66%66%62%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +2.95%E +1.13%K +1.84%G +0.054%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -9.39%E -6.26%K -18.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-06 07:25
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +2.95%E +1.13%K +1.84%G +0.054%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -9.39%E -6.26%K -18.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-06 07:24
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.971%E +0.381%K +0.626%G +0.006%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.79%E -5.82%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 07:25
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV +0.971%E +0.381%K +0.626%G +0.006%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -10.00%E -6.71%K -20.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-06 07:25
SportsBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%EV -0.217%E -0.086%K -0.143%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%EV -8.79%E -5.82%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 07:25
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.01%E -0.404%K -0.673%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 07:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.01%E -0.404%K -0.673%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 07:15
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.01%E -0.404%K -0.673%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 07:10
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.01%E -0.404%K -0.673%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.58%E -4.96%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 07:10
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.01%E -0.404%K -0.673%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -8.19%E -5.39%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 07:25
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.01%E -0.404%K -0.673%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -8.19%E -5.39%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 07:25
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.01%E -0.404%K -0.673%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -8.19%E -5.39%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 07:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.01%E -0.404%K -0.673%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.79%E -5.82%K -17.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 07:25
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.01%E -0.404%K -0.673%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.79%E -5.82%K -17.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 07:24
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.01%E -0.404%K -0.673%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.79%E -5.82%K -17.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 07:25
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.01%E -0.404%K -0.673%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.79%E -5.82%K -17.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 07:25
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.01%E -0.404%K -0.673%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.79%E -5.82%K -17.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 07:25
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.01%E -0.404%K -0.673%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.79%E -5.82%K -17.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 07:25
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.01%E -0.404%K -0.673%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.39%E -6.26%K -18.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-06 07:22
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.37%E -4.11%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 07:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.99%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.37%E -4.11%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 07:24
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -4.97%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.39%E -6.26%K -18.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-06 07:13
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.93%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.15%E -1.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 07:05
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.93%E -3.88%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.75%E -1.71%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 07:05
Marathon Bet2.27I 44.05%NM 40.73%EV -10.12%E -4.46%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.27%EV -5.77%E -3.70%K -10.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-06 07:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89%0.3%2026-07-06 07:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-07-06 07:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-07-06 07:25