Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zimbabwe v Bangladesh

Kickoff: 2026-07-11 07:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

37%

63%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zimbabwe (Local)

Prediction 37.33%2.68fair odd

EV +12.00%

Edge +4.00%

Kelly +6.00%

Growth +0.720%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

31.35%37.78%37.57%45.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.102.602.653.0047.62%38.39%37.74%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bangladesh (Visit)

Prediction 62.67%1.60fair odd

EV +8.41%

Edge +4.86%

Kelly +11.53%

Growth +0.970%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

54.83%62.22%62.43%68.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.371.491.471.7372.99%66.90%68.03%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
BoyleSports	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -21.60%E -10.29%K -19.64%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +8.41%E +4.86%K +11.53%G +0.970%	5.4%	2026-07-10 09:14
William Hill	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -17.87%E -8.12%K -14.89%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +4.65%E +2.79%K +6.95%G +0.323%	5.3%	2026-07-10 22:05
GTbets	2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -17.12%E -7.71%K -14.03%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV +4.03%E +2.43%K +6.10%G +0.246%	5.3%	2026-07-11 07:25
Everygame	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -14.13%E -6.15%K -10.87%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV +0.267%E +0.167%K +0.445%G +0.001%	6.0%	2026-07-11 07:09
DraftKings	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -12.27%E -5.22%K -9.09%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -1.61%E -1.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-11 07:24
Marathon Bet	2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -13.39%E -5.77%K -10.14%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 60.10%EV -3.49%E -2.27%K -6.47%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-07-11 07:19
Sky Bet	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -1.81%E -0.690%K -1.11%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -6.00%E -4.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-11 07:10
Ladbrokes (UK)	2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.19%E -0.835%K -1.35%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.00%E -4.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-11 07:10
Coral	2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.19%E -0.835%K -1.35%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.00%E -4.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-11 07:10
Paddy Power	2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.19%E -0.835%K -1.35%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.00%E -4.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-11 07:09
Ladbrokes (AU)	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.67%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.00%E -4.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-11 07:24
Neds	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.67%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.00%E -4.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-11 07:25
Pinnacle	2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV +1.55%E +0.568%K +0.899%G +0.014%	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -7.25%E -4.90%K -15.11%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-11 07:25
Grosvenor	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -1.07%E -0.403%K -0.647%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.88%E -5.36%K -16.76%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-11 07:19
LeoVegas (SE)	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -1.07%E -0.403%K -0.647%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.88%E -5.36%K -16.76%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-11 07:20
Unibet (SE)	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -1.07%E -0.403%K -0.647%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.88%E -5.36%K -16.76%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-11 07:19
LiveScore Bet	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -1.07%E -0.403%K -0.647%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.88%E -5.36%K -16.76%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-11 07:19
Virgin Bet	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -1.07%E -0.403%K -0.647%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.88%E -5.36%K -16.76%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-11 07:19
Casumo	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -1.07%E -0.403%K -0.647%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.88%E -5.36%K -16.76%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-11 07:19
Unibet	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -1.07%E -0.403%K -0.647%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.88%E -5.36%K -16.76%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-11 07:19
TABtouch	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -1.07%E -0.403%K -0.647%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.88%E -5.36%K -16.76%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-11 07:19
ATG (SE)	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -1.07%E -0.403%K -0.647%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.88%E -5.36%K -16.76%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-11 07:20
SportsBet	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -2.19%E -0.835%K -1.35%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -7.88%E -5.36%K -16.76%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-11 07:24
PlayUp	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +8.27%E +2.85%K +4.35%G +0.360%	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -11.01%E -7.76%K -26.22%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-11 07:24
Bet Right	2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV +9.01%E +3.09%K +4.69%G +0.423%	1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -11.64%E -8.25%K -28.39%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-11 07:24
PointsBet (AU)	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +10.13%E +3.43%K +5.20%G +0.526%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -12.27%E -8.76%K -30.67%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-11 07:24
TAB	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +8.27%E +2.85%K +4.35%G +0.360%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -12.27%E -8.76%K -30.67%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-11 07:25
Bet Victor	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV +0.799%E +0.296%K +0.470%G +0.004%	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -12.27%E -8.76%K -30.67%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-07-11 07:22
Betr (AU)	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV +12.00%E +4.00%K +6.00%G +0.720%	1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -14.15%E -10.33%K -38.23%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-11 07:24

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)	3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%	1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%	0.7%	2026-07-11 07:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)	3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%	1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%	0.8%	2026-07-11 07:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)	3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%	1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%	0.8%	2026-07-11 07:25