The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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West Indies v Sri Lanka

Kickoff: 2026-06-06 21:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Indies (Local)

Prediction 50.68%1.97fair odd
EV -3.21%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -3.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%50.68%50.68%51.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.881.891.9155.56%53.19%52.91%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sri Lanka (Visit)

Prediction 49.32%2.03fair odd
EV -5.79%
Edge -3.03%
Kelly -6.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.65%49.32%49.32%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.901.901.9153.48%52.75%52.63%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: West Indies (Local): 50.68%; Sri Lanka (Visit): 49.32%. For West Indies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.97. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.91, with an expected value of -3.21%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.21%E -1.68%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 21:10
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.21%E -1.68%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 21:10
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.21%E -1.68%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.79%E -3.03%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 21:09
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.72%E -1.96%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.28%E -3.31%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 21:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.72%E -1.96%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.28%E -3.31%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 21:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.72%E -1.96%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.28%E -3.31%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 21:09
Unibet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.72%E -1.96%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.28%E -3.31%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 21:09
LeoVegas🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.22%E -2.23%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.78%E -3.59%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-06 21:10
Grosvenor🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.22%E -2.23%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.78%E -3.59%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-06 21:09
TABtouch🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.22%E -2.23%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.78%E -3.59%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-06 21:09
Casumo🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.22%E -2.23%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.78%E -3.59%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-06 21:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.22%E -2.23%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.78%E -3.59%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-06 21:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.22%E -2.23%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.78%E -3.59%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-06 21:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.22%E -2.23%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.78%E -3.59%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-06 21:09
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.78%E -4.88%K -10.98%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.28%E -3.31%K -6.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-06 21:19
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.78%E -4.88%K -10.98%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.28%E -3.31%K -6.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-06 21:19
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -8.78%E -4.88%K -10.98%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -7.76%E -4.15%K -8.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-06 21:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-06-06 21:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-06-06 21:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-06-06 21:20