The School of Odds
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West Indies v Sri Lanka

Kickoff: 2026-06-03 14:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Indies (Local)

Prediction 46.23%2.16fair odd
EV -1.53%
Edge -0.720%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.17%46.25%46.34%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.981.952.1352.36%50.53%51.28%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sri Lanka (Visit)

Prediction 53.77%1.86fair odd
EV +2.70%
Edge +1.42%
Kelly +2.97%
Growth +0.080%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%53.75%53.66%54.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.801.831.9158.82%55.58%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: West Indies (Local): 46.23%; Sri Lanka (Visit): 53.77%. For Sri Lanka (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.86. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.91, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.70%.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -11.70%E -6.13%K -12.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +2.70%E +1.42%K +2.97%G +0.080%4.7%2026-06-03 14:20
SportsBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -10.32%E -5.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV +0.014%E +0.008%K +0.017%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 14:19
Neds🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -10.78%E -5.58%K -11.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -0.523%E -0.283%K -0.616%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 14:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -10.78%E -5.58%K -11.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -0.523%E -0.283%K -0.616%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 14:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.85%E -5.05%K -10.37%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.60%E -0.874%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 14:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.85%E -5.05%K -10.37%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.60%E -0.874%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 14:09
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.85%E -5.05%K -10.37%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.60%E -0.874%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 14:10
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -10.32%E -5.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -1.60%E -0.874%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-03 14:10
Casumo🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -10.32%E -5.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -1.60%E -0.874%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-03 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -10.32%E -5.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -1.60%E -0.874%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-03 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -10.32%E -5.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -1.60%E -0.874%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-03 14:10
Grosvenor🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -10.32%E -5.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -1.60%E -0.874%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-03 14:09
LeoVegas🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -10.32%E -5.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -1.60%E -0.874%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-03 14:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -10.32%E -5.32%K -10.97%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -1.60%E -0.874%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-03 14:09
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -11.70%E -6.13%K -12.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.60%E -0.874%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-03 14:20
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -11.70%E -6.13%K -12.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.60%E -0.874%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-03 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -11.70%E -6.13%K -12.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.60%E -0.874%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-03 14:20
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.21%E -1.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-01 20:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.82%E -2.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 14:09
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.82%E -2.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 14:09
Pinnacle🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -1.53%E -0.720%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -5.36%E -3.05%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-03 01:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.36%E -3.05%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-03 14:19
Bet Right🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%EV -7.08%E -3.52%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.32%EV -5.36%E -3.05%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-03 14:20
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.23%E -2.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.90%E -3.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 14:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -9.39%E -4.79%K -9.78%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -5.90%E -3.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-03 14:19
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.92%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.44%E -3.70%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 03:39
GTbets🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.92%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.98%E -4.03%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-03 14:20
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.98%E -4.03%K -9.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-03 14:09
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.59%E -5.05%K -12.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-03 14:10
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.54%E -3.77%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.59%E -5.05%K -12.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-03 14:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-06-03 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-06-03 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-06-03 14:20