The School of Odds
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West Indies v New Zealand

Kickoff: 2026-07-11 18:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Indies (Local)

Prediction 45.21%2.21fair odd
EV +1.72%
Edge +0.765%
Kelly +1.38%
Growth +0.024%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.71%45.18%45.17%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.142.102.2550.00%46.78%47.62%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New Zealand (Visit)

Prediction 54.79%1.83fair odd
EV -1.38%
Edge -0.765%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%54.82%54.83%58.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.701.721.8062.11%58.87%58.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +1.72%E +0.765%K +1.38%G +0.024%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -9.60%E -5.82%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 18:25
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +1.72%E +0.765%K +1.38%G +0.024%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -9.60%E -5.82%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 18:25
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV +1.72%E +0.765%K +1.38%G +0.024%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -10.69%E -6.56%K -16.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 18:24
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +1.72%E +0.765%K +1.38%G +0.024%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -11.24%E -6.94%K -18.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 18:25
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +1.72%E +0.765%K +1.38%G +0.024%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -11.24%E -6.94%K -18.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 18:25
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV +1.72%E +0.765%K +1.38%G +0.024%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -11.79%E -7.32%K -19.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-11 18:24
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV +1.72%E +0.765%K +1.38%G +0.024%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -11.79%E -7.32%K -19.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-11 18:24
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -0.540%E -0.245%K -0.450%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -9.60%E -5.82%K -14.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 18:24
GTbets2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.44%E -0.662%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.95%E -4.73%K -11.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 18:15
Pinnacle2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.80%E -1.30%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.66%E -2.68%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 18:15
Marathon Bet2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -4.61%E -2.18%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -9.60%E -5.82%K -14.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-11 18:05
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.06%E -2.41%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.12%E -2.35%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 18:24
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.06%E -2.41%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.66%E -2.68%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 18:25
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.06%E -2.41%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.21%E -3.01%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 18:20
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.06%E -2.41%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.21%E -3.01%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 13:39
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.06%E -2.41%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.76%E -3.35%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 18:19
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.06%E -2.41%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.76%E -3.35%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 18:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.06%E -2.41%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.76%E -3.35%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 18:19
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.06%E -2.41%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.76%E -3.35%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 18:19
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.06%E -2.41%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.76%E -3.35%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 18:19
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.06%E -2.41%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.76%E -3.35%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 18:19
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.06%E -2.41%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.76%E -3.35%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 18:19
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.06%E -2.41%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.76%E -3.35%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 18:19
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.06%E -2.41%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.76%E -3.35%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 18:20
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.06%E -2.41%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.76%E -3.35%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 18:20
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.06%E -2.41%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.86%E -4.03%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 18:19
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.32%E -3.57%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.02%E -1.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 18:15
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.32%E -3.57%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.21%E -3.01%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-11 18:23
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.58%E -4.79%K -9.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.38%E -0.765%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 18:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%0.3%2026-07-11 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-07-11 18:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-07-11 18:24