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West Indies v New Zealand
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
West Indies (Local)
Prediction 40.26%2.48fair odd
EV +2.66%
Edge +1.04%
Kelly +1.72%
Growth +0.046%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.04%40.24%40.74%42.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.432.452.5545.45%41.22%40.82%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New Zealand (Visit)
Prediction 59.74%1.67fair odd
EV -3.22%
Edge -1.99%
Kelly -5.19%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.59%59.76%59.26%62.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.551.541.6266.67%64.68%64.94%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: West Indies (Local): 40.26%; New Zealand (Visit): 59.74%. For West Indies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.48. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.66%.
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +2.66%E +1.04%K +1.72%G +0.046% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -9.19%E -6.05%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-13 18:24 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +2.66%E +1.04%K +1.72%G +0.046% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -10.39%E -6.93%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-13 18:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.648%E +0.259%K +0.432%G +0.003% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.60%E -5.62%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-13 18:20 |
| Bet Right | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.648%E +0.259%K +0.432%G +0.003% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.60%E -5.62%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-13 18:20 |
| Sky Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.648%E +0.259%K +0.432%G +0.003% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.60%E -5.62%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-13 18:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.648%E +0.259%K +0.432%G +0.003% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.60%E -5.62%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-13 18:20 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.648%E +0.259%K +0.432%G +0.003% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.60%E -5.62%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-13 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.648%E +0.259%K +0.432%G +0.003% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.60%E -5.62%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-13 18:20 |
| TAB | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV +0.648%E +0.259%K +0.432%G +0.003% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -9.19%E -6.05%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-13 18:24 |
| SportsBet | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -0.963%E -0.391%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -8.60%E -5.62%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-13 18:20 |
| Casumo | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -1.37%E -0.557%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.00%E -5.19%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-13 18:25 |
| Unibet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -1.37%E -0.557%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.00%E -5.19%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-13 18:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -1.37%E -0.557%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.00%E -5.19%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-13 18:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -1.37%E -0.557%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.00%E -5.19%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-13 18:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -1.37%E -0.557%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.00%E -5.19%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-13 18:24 |
| Grosvenor | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -1.37%E -0.557%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.00%E -5.19%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-13 18:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -1.37%E -0.557%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.00%E -5.19%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-13 18:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -1.37%E -0.557%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.00%E -5.19%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-13 18:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -1.37%E -0.557%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -8.00%E -5.19%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-13 18:24 |
| Neds | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.38%E -1.41%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.40%E -4.78%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-13 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.38%E -1.41%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.40%E -4.78%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-13 18:20 |
| betano_uk | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -3.38%E -1.41%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -10.39%E -6.93%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-13 18:19 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -3.38%E -1.41%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -10.39%E -6.93%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-13 18:19 |
| Pinnacle | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -4.59%E -1.93%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -3.22%E -1.99%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-13 18:20 |
| Everygame | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.39%E -2.29%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.21%E -3.95%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-13 18:20 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.40%E -3.22%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.22%E -1.99%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-13 17:40 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.40%E -3.22%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.01%E -3.15%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-13 18:20 |
| GTbets | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.40%E -3.22%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.61%E -3.55%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-13 18:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.42%E -4.19%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.21%E -3.95%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-13 18:14 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -11.43%E -5.20%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -3.22%E -1.99%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-13 18:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76% | 0.2% | 2026-07-13 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 0.6% | 2026-07-13 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 0.6% | 2026-07-13 18:25 |