Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.41
assuming max odds 1.70
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: West Indies (Local): 41.32%; New Zealand (Visit): 58.68%. For New Zealand (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.704. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.700, with an expected value of -0.251%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV -0.409%E -0.170%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.10%EV -6.12%E -3.82%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-21 18:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.65%E -0.693%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.88%E -5.02%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-21 18:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.65%E -0.693%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.88%E -5.02%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-21 04:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -2.06%E -0.870%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -7.88%E -5.02%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-21 18:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -2.06%E -0.870%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -7.88%E -5.02%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-21 18:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.89%E -1.23%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.88%E -5.02%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-21 18:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.89%E -1.23%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.88%E -5.02%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-21 18:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.89%E -1.23%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.88%E -5.02%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-21 18:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.95%E -2.15%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-21 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.95%E -2.15%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.12%E -3.82%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-21 18:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.95%E -2.15%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.12%E -3.82%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-21 18:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.95%E -2.15%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.12%E -3.82%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.18%E -1.93%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-21 18:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-21 18:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-21 18:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-21 18:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-21 18:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-21 18:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-21 18:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-21 18:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-21 18:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-21 18:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.88%E -5.02%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-21 18:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -8.26%E -3.72%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -2.60%E -1.57%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.09%E -4.13%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.01%E -1.20%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-21 18:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.09%E -4.13%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.18%E -1.93%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-21 18:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -11.15%E -5.19%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -5.53%E -3.44%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-21 18:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -11.15%E -5.19%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -5.53%E -3.44%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-21 18:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -13.22%E -6.30%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -0.251%E -0.148%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-07-21 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-07-21 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-07-21 18:20 |