The School of Odds

West Indies v New Zealand

2026-07-16 18:30 UTC — One Day Internationals

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

West Indies (Local)

Prediction 39.35%2.54fair odd
EV -3.60%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -2.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.75%39.35%39.35%40.05%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.302.382.382.4543%42%42%41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

New Zealand (Visit)

Prediction 60.65%1.65fair odd
EV -4.78%
Edge -3.04%
Kelly -8.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.95%60.65%60.65%61.25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.531.561.561.5765%64%64%64%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.99%E -3.87%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-14 06:59
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.60%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.99%E -3.87%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-14 07:00
Bet Right2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.78%E -1.97%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-14 07:14
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.56%E -2.32%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.99%E -3.87%K -10.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-14 07:14
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.56%E -2.32%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.99%E -3.87%K -10.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-14 07:14
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.56%E -2.32%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.99%E -3.87%K -10.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-14 07:55
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.35%E -2.67%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.78%E -3.04%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-14 05:19
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.35%E -2.67%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.78%E -3.04%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-14 05:23
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -6.74%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -4.78%E -3.04%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-14 07:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -6.74%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -4.78%E -3.04%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-14 07:15
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.53%E -3.20%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.78%E -3.04%K -8.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-14 05:18
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.53%E -3.20%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.78%E -3.04%K -8.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-14 05:19
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.50%E -4.13%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.20%E -4.71%K -13.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-14 07:15
betano_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.50%E -4.13%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.20%E -4.71%K -13.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-14 07:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%5.2%2026-07-14 07:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%5.2%2026-07-14 07:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 38.26%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.74%11.7%2026-07-14 06:59