The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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West Indies v New Zealand

Kickoff: 2026-07-19 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Indies (Local)

Prediction 38.01%2.63fair odd
EV -0.411%
Edge -0.157%
Kelly -0.253%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.25%38.25%37.97%41.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.532.552.6243.48%39.57%39.22%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New Zealand (Visit)

Prediction 61.99%1.61fair odd
EV -0.198%
Edge -0.123%
Kelly -0.325%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.82%61.75%62.03%63.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.511.501.6168.97%66.25%66.67%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: West Indies (Local): 38.01%; New Zealand (Visit): 61.99%. For New Zealand (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.613. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.610, with an expected value of -0.198%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -0.411%E -0.157%K -0.253%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -7.02%E -4.68%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 13:55
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -0.411%E -0.157%K -0.253%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -7.02%E -4.68%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 13:55
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -0.411%E -0.157%K -0.253%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -7.02%E -4.68%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 13:45
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -1.17%E -0.450%K -0.732%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -8.26%E -5.58%K -17.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 13:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -1.17%E -0.450%K -0.732%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -8.26%E -5.58%K -17.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 13:55
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -1.17%E -0.450%K -0.732%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -8.26%E -5.58%K -17.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -1.17%E -0.450%K -0.732%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -8.26%E -5.58%K -17.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -1.17%E -0.450%K -0.732%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -8.26%E -5.58%K -17.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -1.17%E -0.450%K -0.732%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -8.26%E -5.58%K -17.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 13:55
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -1.17%E -0.450%K -0.732%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -8.26%E -5.58%K -17.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 13:55
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -1.17%E -0.450%K -0.732%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -8.26%E -5.58%K -17.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 13:55
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -1.17%E -0.450%K -0.732%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -8.26%E -5.58%K -17.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 13:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -1.17%E -0.450%K -0.732%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -8.26%E -5.58%K -17.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 13:55
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -1.17%E -0.450%K -0.732%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -8.26%E -5.58%K -17.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 13:52
Pinnacle🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.07%E -1.20%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.54%E -2.95%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-19 13:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -3.07%E -1.20%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -10.12%E -6.98%K -22.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-19 13:45
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.92%E -2.53%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-19 13:55
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 13:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 13:55
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 04:30
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.78%E -3.80%K -11.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 13:55
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.87%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.92%E -2.53%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 13:55
Everygame🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.87%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 13:54
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.87%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.78%E -3.80%K -11.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-19 13:55
GTbets🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.77%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.30%E -2.11%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 13:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.77%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.92%E -2.53%K -7.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 13:55
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.77%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.02%E -4.68%K -14.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-19 13:53
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.77%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.02%E -4.68%K -14.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-19 13:53
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -12.57%E -5.47%K -9.67%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -0.198%E -0.123%K -0.325%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 13:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%0.5%2026-07-19 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-07-19 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-07-19 13:55