The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Scotland v Oman

Kickoff: 2026-04-08 13:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Scotland (Local)

Prediction 72.19%1.39fair odd
EV -1.10%
Edge -0.806%
Kelly -2.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.65%72.19%72.19%72.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.311.361.361.3776.34%73.63%73.53%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oman (Visit)

Prediction 27.81%3.60fair odd
EV -5.44%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -2.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.81%27.81%27.81%31.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.043.003.4033.33%32.93%33.33%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Scotland (Local): 72.19%; Oman (Visit): 27.81%. For Scotland (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.39. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.37, with an expected value of -1.10%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -1.10%E -0.806%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -16.56%E -5.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 12:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -1.10%E -0.806%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -16.56%E -5.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 11:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -1.10%E -0.806%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -16.56%E -5.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 11:59
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -1.83%E -1.34%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -16.56%E -5.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -1.83%E -1.34%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -16.56%E -5.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 12:00
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -1.83%E -1.34%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -16.56%E -5.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 12:00
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -1.83%E -1.34%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -16.56%E -5.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 12:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -1.83%E -1.34%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -16.56%E -5.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 12:00
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -1.83%E -1.34%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -16.56%E -5.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 12:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -1.83%E -1.34%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -16.56%E -5.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 11:59
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.44%E -4.15%K -17.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-08 12:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.