The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Scotland v Oman

Kickoff: 2026-04-02 07:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Scotland (Local)

Prediction 67.66%1.48fair odd
EV -2.57%
Edge -1.78%
Kelly -5.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.63%67.66%68.00%71.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.391.401.4475.19%72.01%71.43%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oman (Visit)

Prediction 32.34%3.09fair odd
EV +6.72%
Edge +2.04%
Kelly +2.92%
Growth +0.196%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.73%32.34%32.00%34.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.892.803.3036.36%34.61%35.71%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Scotland (Local): 67.66%; Oman (Visit): 32.34%. For Oman (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.09. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.72%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -10.01%E -7.53%K -30.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +6.72%E +2.04%K +2.92%G +0.196%5.5%2026-04-02 07:04
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -10.01%E -7.53%K -30.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +6.72%E +2.04%K +2.92%G +0.196%5.5%2026-04-02 07:04
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -7.30%E -5.33%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV +0.250%E +0.081%K +0.119%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 06:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -7.98%E -5.87%K -22.17%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.00%EV -6.54%E -2.26%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-02 07:04
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.27%E -3.77%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.45%E -3.38%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 11:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.27%E -3.77%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.45%E -3.38%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.27%E -3.77%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.45%E -3.38%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 17:30
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.27%E -3.77%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.45%E -3.38%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 17:29
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.27%E -3.77%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.45%E -3.38%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 17:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.27%E -3.77%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.45%E -3.38%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 17:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.27%E -3.77%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.45%E -3.38%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 17:34
Casumo🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.27%E -3.77%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.45%E -3.38%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 17:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.27%E -3.77%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.45%E -3.38%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 17:34
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.27%E -3.77%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.45%E -3.38%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 17:50
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.57%E -1.78%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -11.07%E -4.02%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-01 11:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.