The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Pakistan v England

Kickoff: 2026-10-20 08:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pakistan (Local)

Prediction 40.60%2.46fair odd
EV +1.51%
Edge +0.603%
Kelly +1.01%
Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.97%40.19%40.51%42.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.362.372.5044.44%42.31%42.19%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

England (Visit)

Prediction 59.40%1.68fair odd
EV -2.59%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -4.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.84%59.81%59.49%62.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.571.571.6465.36%63.63%63.69%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pakistan (Local): 40.60%; England (Visit): 59.40%. For Pakistan (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.46. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.51%.

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +1.51%E +0.603%K +1.01%G +0.015%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -9.12%E -5.96%K -17.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-20 07:35
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.522%E -0.213%K -0.360%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.93%E -5.12%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-20 07:40
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -1.33%E -0.549%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.34%E -4.71%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-20 07:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -1.33%E -0.549%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.34%E -4.71%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-20 07:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.55%E -1.06%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-20 07:55
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.55%E -1.06%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-20 07:55
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.55%E -1.06%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.34%E -4.71%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-20 07:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.55%E -1.06%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.34%E -4.71%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-20 07:55
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.55%E -1.06%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.34%E -4.71%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-20 07:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.55%E -1.06%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.34%E -4.71%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-20 07:55
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.55%E -1.06%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.93%E -5.12%K -14.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-20 07:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.36%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.15%E -3.89%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 18:09
SportsBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.36%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.34%E -4.71%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-20 07:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -3.77%E -1.59%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-20 07:40
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -3.77%E -1.59%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-20 07:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.58%E -1.95%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-20 07:55
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.58%E -1.95%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.15%E -3.89%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-20 07:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.58%E -1.95%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.15%E -3.89%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-20 07:55
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.58%E -1.95%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.15%E -3.89%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-20 07:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.58%E -1.95%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-20 07:40
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.58%E -1.95%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-20 07:40
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.61%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-19 20:25
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -6.61%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -9.12%E -5.96%K -17.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-20 07:55
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.64%E -3.84%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.59%E -1.58%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-20 07:55
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.64%E -3.84%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.78%E -2.33%K -6.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-20 07:55
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.64%E -3.84%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-20 05:15
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.64%E -3.84%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.75%E -4.30%K -11.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-20 05:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%0.2%2026-10-20 07:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-10-20 07:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-10-20 07:55