The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Pakistan v Australia

Kickoff: 2026-05-30 11:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pakistan (Local)

Prediction 53.74%1.86fair odd
EV -2.20%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -2.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.83%53.77%53.64%55.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.741.731.8258.82%57.53%57.80%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Australia (Visit)

Prediction 46.26%2.16fair odd
EV -0.532%
Edge -0.247%
Kelly -0.463%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.16%46.23%46.36%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.082.102.1551.02%48.01%47.62%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pakistan (Local): 53.74%; Australia (Visit): 46.26%. For Australia (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.16. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.15, with an expected value of -0.532%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -2.20%E -1.21%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -5.16%E -2.52%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-30 11:20
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.28%E -1.82%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.85%E -1.35%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-30 11:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.28%E -1.82%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.85%E -1.35%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-30 11:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.89%E -2.76%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.16%E -2.52%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 11:20
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.96%E -3.41%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.77%E -1.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 11:20
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.96%E -3.41%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.77%E -1.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.96%E -3.41%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.16%E -2.52%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 11:20
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.96%E -3.41%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.16%E -2.52%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 11:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -5.96%E -3.41%K -7.95%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -9.32%E -4.76%K -9.71%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-30 11:10
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.50%E -3.74%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.85%E -1.35%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 11:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.50%E -3.74%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.16%E -2.52%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 11:20
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.04%E -4.07%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.85%E -1.35%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 11:20
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.04%E -4.07%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.85%E -1.35%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 11:19
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.04%E -4.07%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.85%E -1.35%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 11:20
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.04%E -4.07%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.85%E -1.35%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 11:09
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.04%E -4.07%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.47%E -3.74%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 11:18
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.57%E -4.40%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.85%E -1.35%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 11:10
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.57%E -4.40%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.85%E -1.35%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 11:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.57%E -4.40%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.85%E -1.35%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 11:10
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.57%E -4.40%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.85%E -1.35%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 11:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.57%E -4.40%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.85%E -1.35%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 11:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.57%E -4.40%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.85%E -1.35%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.57%E -4.40%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.85%E -1.35%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 11:09
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.57%E -4.40%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.85%E -1.35%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 11:09
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.57%E -4.40%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.85%E -1.35%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 11:10
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.57%E -4.40%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.85%E -1.35%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 11:09
GTbets🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -8.65%E -5.09%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -0.532%E -0.247%K -0.463%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 11:10
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.65%E -5.09%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.85%E -1.35%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 11:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-05-30 11:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-05-30 11:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-05-30 11:20