The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Pakistan v Australia

Kickoff: 2026-06-02 11:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pakistan (Local)

Prediction 58.12%1.72fair odd
EV -2.37%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -3.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.14%58.08%58.18%59.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.631.621.6862.50%61.47%61.92%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Australia (Visit)

Prediction 41.88%2.39fair odd
EV -2.41%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -1.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.71%41.92%41.82%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.262.292.3346.51%44.21%43.67%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pakistan (Local): 58.12%; Australia (Visit): 41.88%. For Pakistan (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.72. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.68, with an expected value of -2.37%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -2.37%E -1.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -9.95%E -4.63%K -8.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-02 11:20
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.95%E -1.76%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.85%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 11:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.95%E -1.76%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.85%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 11:10
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.95%E -1.76%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.85%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 07:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -2.95%E -1.76%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.95%E -4.63%K -8.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-02 09:30
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -2.95%E -1.76%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.95%E -4.63%K -8.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-02 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -2.95%E -1.76%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.95%E -4.63%K -8.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-02 11:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-02 11:10
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.69%E -2.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -2.41%E -1.03%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-02 03:40
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.27%E -3.23%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.67%E -1.59%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 11:09
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.27%E -3.23%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 11:20
GTbets🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.27%E -3.23%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-02 11:09
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.67%E -1.59%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-02 11:20
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.85%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-02 11:20
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.43%E -4.00%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.67%E -1.59%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-02 09:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -6.43%E -4.00%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -9.11%E -4.20%K -7.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-02 11:08
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -6.43%E -4.00%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -9.95%E -4.63%K -8.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-02 10:59
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.41%E -1.03%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-02 11:10
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.41%E -1.03%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-02 11:09
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.41%E -1.03%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-02 11:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.41%E -1.03%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-02 11:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.41%E -1.03%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-02 11:10
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.41%E -1.03%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-02 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.41%E -1.03%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-02 11:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.41%E -1.03%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-02 11:09
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.41%E -1.03%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-02 11:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.41%E -1.03%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-02 11:10
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -7.01%E -4.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -4.50%E -1.98%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-02 11:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-06-02 11:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30%0.2%2026-06-02 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30%0.2%2026-06-02 11:20