Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oman v Canada

Kickoff: 2026-10-15 05:27 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oman (Local)

Prediction 59.43%1.68fair odd
EV -6.69%
Edge -4.26%
Kelly -11.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.43%59.43%59.43%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.511.501.5766.67%66.26%66.67%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Canada (Visit)

Prediction 40.57%2.46fair odd
EV +1.42%
Edge +0.568%
Kelly +0.947%
Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%40.57%40.57%40.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.472.502.5043.48%40.54%40.00%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oman (Local): 59.43%; Canada (Visit): 40.57%. For Canada (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.46. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.42%.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.85%E -7.24%K -21.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +1.42%E +0.568%K +0.947%G +0.013%6.7%2026-10-15 05:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.85%E -7.24%K -21.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +1.42%E +0.568%K +0.947%G +0.013%6.7%2026-10-15 05:24
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.85%E -7.24%K -21.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +1.42%E +0.568%K +0.947%G +0.013%6.7%2026-10-15 05:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.85%E -7.24%K -21.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +1.42%E +0.568%K +0.947%G +0.013%6.7%2026-10-15 05:25
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.85%E -7.24%K -21.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +1.42%E +0.568%K +0.947%G +0.013%6.7%2026-10-15 05:24
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.85%E -7.24%K -21.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +1.42%E +0.568%K +0.947%G +0.013%6.7%2026-10-15 05:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.85%E -7.24%K -21.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +1.42%E +0.568%K +0.947%G +0.013%6.7%2026-10-15 05:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.85%E -7.24%K -21.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +1.42%E +0.568%K +0.947%G +0.013%6.7%2026-10-15 05:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.85%E -7.24%K -21.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +1.42%E +0.568%K +0.947%G +0.013%6.7%2026-10-15 05:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -9.66%E -6.36%K -18.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-15 05:25
Neds🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -9.66%E -6.36%K -18.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-15 05:25
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-15 04:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.