Netherlands v Nepal

2026-07-23 09:00 UTC — One Day Internationals

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Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

58%

42%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Netherlands (Local)

Prediction 57.63%1.74fair odd

EV -4.91%

Edge -2.98%

Kelly -7.55%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

57.14%57.63%57.59%61.87%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.511.551.521.6566%64%66%61%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Nepal (Visit)

Prediction 42.37%2.36fair odd

EV +3.80%

Edge +1.55%

Kelly +2.62%

Growth +0.100%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

38.13%42.37%42.41%42.86%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.202.372.452.4545%42%41%41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Unibet	1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -12.40%E -8.16%K -23.85%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV +3.80%E +1.55%K +2.62%G +0.100%	6.6%	2026-07-22 09:10
LiveScore Bet	1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -12.40%E -8.16%K -23.85%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV +3.80%E +1.55%K +2.62%G +0.100%	6.6%	2026-07-22 09:10
Virgin Bet	1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -12.40%E -8.16%K -23.85%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV +3.80%E +1.55%K +2.62%G +0.100%	6.6%	2026-07-22 09:10
Grosvenor	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -12.98%E -8.59%K -25.45%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV +3.80%E +1.55%K +2.62%G +0.100%	7.0%	2026-07-22 09:10
Unibet (SE)	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -12.98%E -8.59%K -25.45%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV +3.80%E +1.55%K +2.62%G +0.100%	7.0%	2026-07-22 09:10
TABtouch	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -12.98%E -8.59%K -25.45%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV +3.80%E +1.55%K +2.62%G +0.100%	7.0%	2026-07-22 09:10
Casumo	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -12.98%E -8.59%K -25.45%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV +3.80%E +1.55%K +2.62%G +0.100%	7.0%	2026-07-22 09:10
ATG (SE)	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -12.98%E -8.59%K -25.45%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV +3.80%E +1.55%K +2.62%G +0.100%	7.0%	2026-07-22 09:10
LeoVegas (SE)	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -12.98%E -8.59%K -25.45%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV +3.80%E +1.55%K +2.62%G +0.100%	7.0%	2026-07-22 09:15
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.71%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.67%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-22 09:09
Neds	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.71%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.67%E -2.08%K -3.74%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-22 09:10
Marathon Bet	1.59I 62.89%NM 58.16%EV -8.37%E -5.26%K -14.18%G +0.000%	2.21I 45.25%NM 41.84%EV -6.36%E -2.88%K -5.26%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-07-22 09:44
DraftKings	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.91%E -2.98%K -7.55%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-22 09:10
BoyleSports	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.64%E -4.10%K -10.71%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.79%E -3.09%K -5.66%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-22 09:39

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.