The School of Odds

Nepal v Namibia

2026-07-21 09:00 UTC — One Day Internationals

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Nepal (Local)

Prediction 61.74%1.62fair odd
EV -4.30%
Edge -2.77%
Kelly -7.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.25%61.74%61.64%62.03%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.501.521.521.5567%66%66%65%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Namibia (Visit)

Prediction 38.26%2.61fair odd
EV -4.36%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -2.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.97%38.26%38.36%38.75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.412.452.452.5041%41%41%40%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.30%E -2.77%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 18:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.30%E -2.77%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 18:20
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.53%E -3.62%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 12:30
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.53%E -3.62%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-20 20:05
Unibet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.15%E -4.05%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-20 12:50
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.15%E -4.05%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-20 12:50
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.15%E -4.05%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-20 12:50
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.77%E -4.48%K -13.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-20 12:50
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.77%E -4.48%K -13.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-20 12:49
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.77%E -4.48%K -13.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-20 12:49
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.77%E -4.48%K -13.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-20 12:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.77%E -4.48%K -13.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-20 12:50
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.77%E -4.48%K -13.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-20 12:50
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.64%EV -7.39%E -4.92%K -14.77%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.36%EV -7.80%E -3.24%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-19 21:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.