預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Namibia v South Africa

開賽時間: 2026-09-09 07:30 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

26 家博彩公司 (6 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Namibia (主隊)

預測 14.05%7.12公平賠率
EV +19.39%
優勢 +2.28%
Kelly +2.58%
成長率 +0.501%

假設最高賠率為 8.50

博彩公司預測分布
11.09%13.97%14.06%16.54%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
5.606.767.008.5017.86%14.79%14.29%11.76%最小值平均值中位數最大值

South Africa (客隊)

預測 85.95%1.16公平賠率
EV -2.87%
優勢 -2.54%
Kelly -22.09%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.13

博彩公司預測分布
83.46%86.03%85.94%88.91%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.061.101.101.1394.34%90.72%90.91%88.50%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Namibia (主隊):14.05%;South Africa (客隊):85.95%。 對於「Namibia (主隊)」,該估計相當於7.12的公平十進位賠率。 當時有3家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為8.50,對應+19.39%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (26 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
GTbets🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +19.39%E +2.28%K +2.58%G +0.501%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -8.89%E -8.39%K -148.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 07:24
DraftKings🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +19.39%E +2.28%K +2.58%G +0.501%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -8.89%E -8.39%K -148.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-07 21:25
Pinnacle🎯7.76I 12.89%NM 12.22%EV +8.99%E +1.16%K +1.33%G +0.120%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.78%EV -7.17%E -6.64%K -89.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 07:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -1.68%E -0.240%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.59%E -4.14%K -41.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 07:19
Coral🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -1.68%E -0.240%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.59%E -4.14%K -41.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-09 07:14
Unibet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.68%E -0.240%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.45%E -4.95%K -54.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 07:05
TABtouch🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.68%E -0.240%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.45%E -4.95%K -54.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 07:05
Unibet (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.68%E -0.240%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.45%E -4.95%K -54.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 07:05
Grosvenor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.68%E -0.240%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.45%E -4.95%K -54.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 07:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.68%E -0.240%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.45%E -4.95%K -54.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 07:05
LiveScore Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.68%E -0.240%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.45%E -4.95%K -54.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 07:05
Virgin Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.68%E -0.240%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.45%E -4.95%K -54.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 07:05
Casumo🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.68%E -0.240%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.45%E -4.95%K -54.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 07:05
ATG (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.68%E -0.240%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.45%E -4.95%K -54.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 07:04
BoyleSports🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.68%E -0.240%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.45%E -4.95%K -54.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 11:45
Neds🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.70%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.45%E -4.95%K -54.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 13:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.70%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.45%E -4.95%K -54.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 13:35
Marathon Bet🎯6.35I 15.75%NM 14.54%EV -10.81%E -1.70%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.46%EV -7.17%E -6.64%K -89.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-09 07:24
PlayUp🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -12.22%E -1.95%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.73%E -3.33%K -31.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 07:19
Bet Right🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -12.22%E -1.95%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.73%E -3.33%K -31.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 07:25
NordicBet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -15.73%E -2.62%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.87%E -2.54%K -22.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 07:25
Betsson🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -15.73%E -2.62%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.87%E -2.54%K -22.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 07:24
TAB🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -15.73%E -2.62%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.73%E -3.33%K -31.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 07:22
Betr (AU)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -15.73%E -2.62%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.73%E -3.33%K -31.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 07:24
betano_uk🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -21.35%E -3.81%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -4.59%E -4.14%K -41.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 07:24
Bet Victor🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -21.35%E -3.81%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -4.59%E -4.14%K -41.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 07:23
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。