语言:简体中文
Namibia v South Africa
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Namibia (主队)
预测 14.05%7.12公平赔率
EV +19.39%
优势 +2.28%
Kelly +2.58%
增长率 +0.501%
假设最高赔率为 8.50
博彩公司预测分布
11.09%13.97%14.06%16.54%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.606.767.008.5017.86%14.79%14.29%11.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
South Africa (客队)
预测 85.95%1.16公平赔率
EV -2.87%
优势 -2.54%
Kelly -22.09%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.13
博彩公司预测分布
83.46%86.03%85.94%88.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.061.101.101.1394.34%90.72%90.91%88.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Namibia (主队)：14.05%；South Africa (客队)：85.95%。 对于“Namibia (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为7.12。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为8.50，对应+19.39%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +19.39%E +2.28%K +2.58%G +0.501% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -8.89%E -8.39%K -148.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 07:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +19.39%E +2.28%K +2.58%G +0.501% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -8.89%E -8.39%K -148.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-07 21:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.76I 12.89%NM 12.22%EV +8.99%E +1.16%K +1.33%G +0.120% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.78%EV -7.17%E -6.64%K -89.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 07:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -1.68%E -0.240%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.59%E -4.14%K -41.73%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-09 07:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -1.68%E -0.240%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.59%E -4.14%K -41.73%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-09 07:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.68%E -0.240%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.45%E -4.95%K -54.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 07:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.68%E -0.240%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.45%E -4.95%K -54.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 07:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.68%E -0.240%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.45%E -4.95%K -54.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 07:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.68%E -0.240%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.45%E -4.95%K -54.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 07:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.68%E -0.240%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.45%E -4.95%K -54.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 07:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.68%E -0.240%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.45%E -4.95%K -54.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 07:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.68%E -0.240%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.45%E -4.95%K -54.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 07:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.68%E -0.240%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.45%E -4.95%K -54.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 07:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.68%E -0.240%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.45%E -4.95%K -54.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 07:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.68%E -0.240%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.45%E -4.95%K -54.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-08 11:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.70%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.45%E -4.95%K -54.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-07 13:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.70%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.45%E -4.95%K -54.50%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-07 13:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.54%EV -10.81%E -1.70%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.46%EV -7.17%E -6.64%K -89.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-09 07:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -12.22%E -1.95%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.73%E -3.33%K -31.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 07:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -12.22%E -1.95%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.73%E -3.33%K -31.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 07:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -15.73%E -2.62%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.87%E -2.54%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 07:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -15.73%E -2.62%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.87%E -2.54%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 07:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -15.73%E -2.62%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.73%E -3.33%K -31.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 07:22 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -15.73%E -2.62%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.73%E -3.33%K -31.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 07:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -21.35%E -3.81%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -4.59%E -4.14%K -41.73%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 07:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -21.35%E -3.81%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -4.59%E -4.14%K -41.73%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 07:23 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。