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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Namibia v South Africa

开赛时间： 2026-09-13 07:32 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

29 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Namibia (主队)

预测 12.74%7.85公平赔率
EV +14.06%
优势 +1.57%
Kelly +1.77%
增长率 +0.248%

假设最高赔率为 8.95

博彩公司预测分布
10.68%12.65%13.15%15.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.007.707.508.9516.67%12.98%13.33%11.17%最小值均值中位数最大值

South Africa (客队)

预测 87.26%1.15公平赔率
EV -3.15%
优势 -2.83%
Kelly -28.59%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.11

博彩公司预测分布
84.63%87.35%86.85%89.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.061.081.071.1194.34%92.77%93.46%90.09%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Namibia (主队)：12.74%；South Africa (客队)：87.26%。 对于“Namibia (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为7.85。 当时有14家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为8.95，对应+14.06%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (29 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯8.95I 11.17%NM 10.68%EV +14.06%E +1.57%K +1.77%G +0.248%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.32%EV -6.64%E -6.20%K -94.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +8.32%E +0.979%K +1.11%G +0.092%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.64%E -6.20%K -94.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 07:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +8.32%E +0.979%K +1.11%G +0.092%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.64%E -6.20%K -94.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 07:10
TABtouch🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +8.32%E +0.979%K +1.11%G +0.092%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.64%E -6.20%K -94.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 07:10
Virgin Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +8.32%E +0.979%K +1.11%G +0.092%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.64%E -6.20%K -94.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 07:10
Unibet (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +8.32%E +0.979%K +1.11%G +0.092%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.64%E -6.20%K -94.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 07:10
Grosvenor🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +8.32%E +0.979%K +1.11%G +0.092%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.64%E -6.20%K -94.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 07:10
LiveScore Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +8.32%E +0.979%K +1.11%G +0.092%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.64%E -6.20%K -94.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 07:10
Casumo🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +8.32%E +0.979%K +1.11%G +0.092%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.64%E -6.20%K -94.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 07:10
ATG (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +8.32%E +0.979%K +1.11%G +0.092%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.64%E -6.20%K -94.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 07:10
BoyleSports🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +8.32%E +0.979%K +1.11%G +0.092%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.51%E -7.08%K -125.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 14:20
SportsBet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +1.95%E +0.244%K +0.278%G +0.005%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.64%E -6.20%K -94.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 07:30
Sky Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +1.95%E +0.244%K +0.278%G +0.005%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.64%E -6.20%K -94.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 07:30
GTbets🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +1.95%E +0.244%K +0.278%G +0.005%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.64%E -6.20%K -94.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 07:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.42%E -0.590%K -0.680%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.76%E -5.34%K -72.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 07:15
Neds🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.42%E -0.590%K -0.680%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.76%E -5.34%K -72.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 07:30
Coral🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.42%E -0.590%K -0.680%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.76%E -5.34%K -72.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 07:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.42%E -0.590%K -0.680%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.76%E -5.34%K -72.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 07:30
Paddy Power🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.42%E -0.590%K -0.680%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.76%E -5.34%K -72.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 07:30
Marathon Bet🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 12.83%EV -8.25%E -1.15%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.17%EV -7.51%E -7.08%K -125.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-13 07:25
Betsson🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.79%E -1.54%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.02%E -3.65%K -40.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 07:29
NordicBet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.79%E -1.54%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.02%E -3.65%K -40.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 07:30
PlayUp🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.79%E -1.54%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.02%E -3.65%K -40.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 07:29
Betr (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -10.79%E -1.54%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.89%E -4.49%K -54.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 07:29
DraftKings🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -10.79%E -1.54%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.89%E -4.49%K -54.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 07:30
Bet Right🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -13.98%E -2.07%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.15%E -2.83%K -28.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 07:29
Bet Victor🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -17.17%E -2.64%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.76%E -5.34%K -72.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 07:29
TAB🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -17.17%E -2.64%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 85.87%EV -6.64%E -6.20%K -94.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 07:30
betano_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -23.54%E -3.92%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -4.89%E -4.49%K -54.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-13 07:28
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%0.4%2026-09-13 07:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71%0.6%2026-09-13 07:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%0.9%2026-09-13 07:30