The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Namibia v Oman

Kickoff: 2026-04-10 07:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Namibia (Local)

Prediction 57.63%1.74fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -1.54%
Kelly -3.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.99%57.63%57.63%66.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.621.651.6970.42%61.89%60.61%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oman (Visit)

Prediction 42.37%2.36fair odd
EV +18.64%
Edge +6.66%
Kelly +10.35%
Growth +1.93%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.65%42.37%42.37%44.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.252.162.8046.51%44.35%46.30%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Namibia (Local): 57.63%; Oman (Visit): 42.37%. For Oman (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.36. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +18.64%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -18.17%E -12.79%K -43.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +18.64%E +6.66%K +10.35%G +1.93%6.1%2026-04-10 07:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -16.44%E -11.34%K -36.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +16.52%E +6.01%K +9.44%G +1.56%5.3%2026-04-10 07:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.27%EV -10.10%E -6.47%K -18.03%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.73%EV -3.82%E -1.68%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-10 07:20
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -4.91%E -2.98%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -8.48%E -3.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 02:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -4.91%E -2.98%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -8.48%E -3.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 02:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -4.91%E -2.98%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -8.48%E -3.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 02:55
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -4.91%E -2.98%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -8.48%E -3.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 02:54
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -4.91%E -2.98%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -8.48%E -3.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 02:54
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -4.91%E -2.98%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -8.48%E -3.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 02:54
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -4.91%E -2.98%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -8.48%E -3.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 02:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -4.91%E -2.98%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -8.48%E -3.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 02:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -4.91%E -2.98%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -8.48%E -3.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 02:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -4.91%E -2.98%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -8.48%E -3.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 02:54
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.61%E -1.54%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.90%E -4.14%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-09 22:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.