The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Namibia v Oman

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 07:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Namibia (Local)

Prediction 53.50%1.87fair odd
EV -4.24%
Edge -2.37%
Kelly -5.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.75%53.50%53.62%55.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.761.781.7958.48%56.67%56.18%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oman (Visit)

Prediction 46.50%2.15fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -2.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.88%46.50%46.38%48.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.012.002.1052.08%49.64%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Namibia (Local): 53.50%; Oman (Visit): 46.50%. For Oman (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.15. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.10, with an expected value of -2.34%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%EV -4.24%E -2.37%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -10.71%E -5.58%K -11.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 07:19
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.78%E -2.68%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.99%E -3.50%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 08:04
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.78%E -2.68%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.99%E -3.50%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 08:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.78%E -2.68%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.99%E -3.50%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 08:05
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.78%E -2.68%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.99%E -3.50%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 08:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.78%E -2.68%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.99%E -3.50%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 08:05
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.78%E -2.68%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.99%E -3.50%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 08:05
LeoVegas🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.78%E -2.68%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.99%E -3.50%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 08:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.78%E -2.68%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.99%E -3.50%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 08:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.78%E -2.68%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.99%E -3.50%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 08:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.78%E -2.68%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.99%E -3.50%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 08:40
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.45%E -4.31%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.99%E -3.50%K -6.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 07:14
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.99%E -4.64%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.34%E -1.12%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 07:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.99%E -4.64%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.34%E -1.12%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 07:19
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.52%E -4.98%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.34%E -1.12%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 07:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.