The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Namibia v Ireland

Kickoff: 2026-10-22 07:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Namibia (Local)

Prediction 33.55%2.98fair odd
EV -2.38%
Edge -0.816%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.56%33.51%33.55%34.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.802.802.9137.04%35.67%35.71%34.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ireland (Visit)

Prediction 66.45%1.50fair odd
EV -3.64%
Edge -2.51%
Kelly -8.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.48%66.49%66.45%67.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.421.431.4571.43%70.19%69.93%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Namibia (Local): 33.55%; Ireland (Visit): 66.45%. For Namibia (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.98. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.91, with an expected value of -2.38%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.95%EV -2.38%E -0.816%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.05%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-21 12:30
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.71%E -0.935%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.64%E -3.97%K -13.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-22 07:15
Bet Right🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.71%E -0.935%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.97%E -4.98%K -17.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-22 06:55
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.71%E -0.935%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.97%E -4.98%K -17.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-21 13:09
SportsBet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.38%E -1.17%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.97%E -4.98%K -17.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-22 07:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -3.72%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -4.31%E -2.99%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-22 07:05
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -3.72%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -4.31%E -2.99%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-22 07:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -4.39%E -1.54%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.30%E -4.47%K -15.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-22 07:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-22 05:55
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-22 05:55
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-22 05:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-22 05:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-22 05:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-22 05:54
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-22 05:55
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-22 05:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-22 05:54
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.07%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.64%E -3.97%K -13.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-22 07:14
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.74%E -2.82%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.64%E -2.51%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-22 07:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.74%E -2.82%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.64%E -2.51%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-22 07:05
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.74%E -2.82%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.31%E -2.99%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-21 08:05
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.74%E -2.82%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.31%E -2.99%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-21 08:44
GTbets🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.46%EV -8.75%E -3.22%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.54%EV -4.97%E -3.48%K -11.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-21 08:20
betano_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.42%E -3.49%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.97%E -4.98%K -17.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-22 07:28
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.42%E -3.49%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.97%E -4.98%K -17.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-22 07:28
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.42%E -3.49%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.97%E -4.98%K -17.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-22 07:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%3.8%2026-10-22 07:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%3.8%2026-10-22 07:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%7.2%2026-10-22 07:25