The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Namibia v Ireland

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 07:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Namibia (Local)

Prediction 35.79%2.79fair odd
EV +3.08%
Edge +1.07%
Kelly +1.64%
Growth +0.051%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.71%35.69%35.79%39.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.512.482.8841.67%39.89%40.32%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ireland (Visit)

Prediction 64.21%1.56fair odd
EV +0.164%
Edge +0.105%
Kelly +0.293%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.61%64.31%64.21%67.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.521.541.5671.43%65.71%65.15%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Namibia (Local): 35.79%; Ireland (Visit): 64.21%. For Namibia (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.79. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.08%.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV +3.08%E +1.07%K +1.64%G +0.051%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -10.11%E -7.22%K -25.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-23 08:23
Pinnacle🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV -2.29%E -0.838%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.85%EV -4.97%E -3.36%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-24 06:20
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.94%E -2.67%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.33%E -2.91%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 07:05
GTbets🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.94%E -2.67%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.97%E -3.36%K -10.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 07:05
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -10.52%E -4.21%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -0.478%E -0.308%K -0.869%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-24 07:25
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -10.52%E -4.21%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.76%E -1.15%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 07:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -10.52%E -4.21%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.76%E -1.15%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 07:20
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -10.52%E -4.21%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.76%E -1.15%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 07:20
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -10.52%E -4.21%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.40%E -1.58%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-24 07:25
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -10.52%E -4.21%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -3.05%E -2.02%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 07:25
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.52%E -4.21%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.69%E -2.46%K -7.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 06:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -11.23%E -4.53%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -1.12%E -0.727%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 07:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -11.23%E -4.53%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -1.12%E -0.727%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 07:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -11.23%E -4.53%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -1.12%E -0.727%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 07:25
Casumo🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -11.23%E -4.53%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -1.12%E -0.727%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 07:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -11.23%E -4.53%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -1.12%E -0.727%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 07:25
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -11.23%E -4.53%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -1.12%E -0.727%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 07:25
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -11.23%E -4.53%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -1.12%E -0.727%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 07:25
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -11.23%E -4.53%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -1.12%E -0.727%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 07:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -11.23%E -4.53%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -1.12%E -0.727%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 07:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -12.31%E -5.02%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -0.478%E -0.308%K -0.869%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 07:20
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -12.31%E -5.02%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -0.478%E -0.308%K -0.869%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 07:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -12.31%E -5.02%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -1.76%E -1.15%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 07:25
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -14.10%E -5.87%K -10.07%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV +0.164%E +0.105%K +0.293%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-24 07:25
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -14.10%E -5.87%K -10.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -3.69%E -2.46%K -7.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-24 07:23
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -14.10%E -5.87%K -10.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -3.69%E -2.46%K -7.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-24 07:23
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-10-24 07:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-10-24 07:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-10-24 07:25