The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Kenya v Bahrain

2026-08-03 06:30 UTC — One Day Internationals

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kenya (Local)

Prediction 39.13%2.56fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -0.870%
Kelly -1.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.97%39.13%39.13%39.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.432.402.5042.02%41.13%41.67%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bahrain (Visit)

Prediction 60.87%1.64fair odd
EV -5.65%
Edge -3.65%
Kelly -10.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.76%60.87%60.87%62.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.541.531.5565.36%65.12%65.36%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Kenya (Local): 39.13%; Bahrain (Visit): 60.87%. For Kenya (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.56. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.50, with an expected value of -2.17%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.17%E -0.870%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 19:40
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.17%E -0.870%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 19:45
SportsBet2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -3.74%E -1.52%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 19:39
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.65%E -3.65%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 19:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.09%E -2.54%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.65%E -3.65%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 19:39
betano_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 19:38
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.87%E -2.89%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.87%E -4.49%K -12.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 19:38
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 49.18%1.50I 66.67%NM 50.82%31.2%2026-08-01 20:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 49.18%1.50I 66.67%NM 50.82%31.2%2026-08-01 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 50.85%1.50I 66.67%NM 49.15%35.6%2026-08-01 20:00