The School of Odds

Jersey v Nepal

2026-07-15 10:00 UTC — One Day Internationals

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Jersey (Local)

Prediction 28.89%3.46fair odd
EV +1.11%
Edge +0.317%
Kelly +0.444%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.08%28.89%28.89%29.04%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.203.333.253.5031%30%31%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Nepal (Visit)

Prediction 71.11%1.41fair odd
EV -5.42%
Edge -4.08%
Kelly -16.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.96%71.11%71.11%72.92%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.301.321.331.3377%76%75%75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +1.11%E +0.317%K +0.444%G +0.005%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.42%E -4.08%K -16.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-13 20:35
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +1.11%E +0.317%K +0.444%G +0.005%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.56%E -5.81%K -25.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-13 20:35
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.78%E -0.523%K -0.741%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.42%E -4.08%K -16.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-13 20:35
Ladbrokes (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.42%E -4.08%K -16.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-13 20:35
Neds3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.42%E -4.08%K -16.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-13 20:35
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.56%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.56%E -5.81%K -25.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-13 20:33
betano_uk3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.56%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.56%E -5.81%K -25.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-13 20:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.17%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.83%11.7%2026-07-13 21:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.17%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.83%11.7%2026-07-13 21:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.17%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.83%11.7%2026-07-13 21:35