語言:繁體中文
Ireland v Afghanistan
收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →
獨贏
Ireland (主隊)
預測 33.23%3.01公平賠率
EV -0.978%
優勢 -0.328%
Kelly -0.494%
成長率 +0.000%
假設最高賠率為 2.98
博彩公司預測分布
31.81%33.23%33.01%36.41%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.622.792.752.9838.17%35.80%36.36%33.56%最小值平均值中位數最大值
Afghanistan (客隊)
預測 66.77%1.50公平賠率
EV +0.157%
優勢 +0.104%
Kelly +0.313%
成長率 +0.000%
假設最高賠率為 1.50
博彩公司預測分布
63.59%66.77%66.99%68.19%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.361.431.431.5073.53%70.11%69.93%66.67%最小值平均值中位數最大值
依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Ireland (主隊)：33.23%；Afghanistan (客隊)：66.77%。 對於「Afghanistan (客隊)」，該估計相當於1.498的公平十進位賠率。 當時有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為1.500，對應+0.157%的正期望值。
博彩公司賠率 (27 家博彩公司)
本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 | 客隊 ▼ | 利潤率 | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -12.94%E -4.94%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV +0.157%E +0.104%K +0.313%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-12 09:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -1.85%E -1.26%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 09:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -1.85%E -1.26%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 09:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.96%EV -6.29%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.04%EV -3.18%E -2.19%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-10 20:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.85%E -2.67%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 11:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.85%E -2.67%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 11:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.85%E -2.67%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 11:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.85%E -2.67%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 09:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.85%E -2.67%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 09:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.85%E -2.67%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 09:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.85%E -2.67%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 09:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.05%EV -7.96%E -2.87%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.95%EV -4.52%E -3.16%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-12 09:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.52%E -3.16%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-11 11:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.52%E -3.16%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-11 11:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.52%E -3.16%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-11 11:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.52%E -3.16%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-11 11:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.52%E -3.16%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-11 11:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.52%E -3.16%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-11 11:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.64%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.19%E -3.65%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-12 09:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -2.97%E -1.02%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -5.85%E -4.15%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 09:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.64%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.85%E -4.15%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 09:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.64%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-12 09:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.64%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.52%E -4.66%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-12 04:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.81%EV -0.978%E -0.328%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.19%EV -7.19%E -5.17%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-12 08:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -6.96%E -2.49%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.86%E -5.69%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-12 09:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -4.30%E -1.49%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.19%E -6.76%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-12 09:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -4.30%E -1.49%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.19%E -6.76%K -25.53%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-12 09:34 |
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率
更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 | 客隊 | 利潤率 ▲ | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 0.4% | 2026-08-12 09:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 0.4% | 2026-08-12 09:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 0.4% | 2026-08-12 09:30 |